Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.53
assuming max odds 2.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cristina Bucsa (Local): 63.94%; Darja Vidmanova (Visit): 36.06%. For Darja Vidmanova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -0.822%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -2.18%E -1.42%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -2.18%E -1.42%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.82%E -1.85%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.63%E -0.972%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-05 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -2.82%E -1.85%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -3.35%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -3.46%E -2.29%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -6.59%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -3.46%E -2.29%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.38%EV -8.76%E -3.46%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.63%E -0.972%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 15:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 20:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 20:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 22:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 09:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -5.87%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -1.90%E -0.700%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 20:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 20:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 22:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 20:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 20:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.63%E -0.972%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 13:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -3.71%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 16:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 19:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 17:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 20:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.822%E -0.299%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 05:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.15%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 20:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.57%E -5.99%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 0.7% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17% | 2.4% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85% | 2.6% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |