La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cristina Bucsa v Darja Vidmanova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cristina Bucsa (Local)
Predicción 63.94%1.56momio equitativo
EV -2.18%
Ventaja -1.42%
Kelly -4.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%63.87%63.98%65.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.491.501.5369.93%67.32%66.67%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Darja Vidmanova (Visitante)
Predicción 36.06%2.77momio equitativo
EV -0.822%
Ventaja -0.299%
Kelly -0.470%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.37%36.13%36.02%37.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.602.602.7540.00%38.42%38.46%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -2.18%E -1.42%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -2.18%E -1.42%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.82%E -1.85%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.63%E -0.972%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-05 22:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -2.82%E -1.85%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -3.35%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| GTbets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -3.46%E -2.29%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -6.59%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -3.46%E -2.29%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.38%EV -8.76%E -3.46%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.63%E -0.972%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 15:05 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 20:59 |
| BetUS | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 20:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 22:39 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| betPARX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 09:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 17:35 |
| Betsson | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| TAB | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 21:30 |
| Caesars | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -5.87%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -1.90%E -0.700%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 20:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 21:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 20:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 22:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 20:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 20:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 17:45 |
| Unibet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.63%E -0.972%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 13:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -3.71%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 16:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 19:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 17:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 22:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 20:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.822%E -0.299%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 05:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.15%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 20:55 |
| Fliff | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.57%E -5.99%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 0.7% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17% | 2.4% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |
| Novig | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85% | 2.6% | 2026-03-05 22:40 |