A Escola das Odds

Cristina Bucsa v Darja Vidmanova

Início: 2026-03-05 23:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cristina Bucsa (Local)

Previsão 63.94%1.56odd justa
EV -2.18%
Vantagem -1.42%
Kelly -4.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.50%63.87%63.98%65.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.431.491.501.5369.93%67.32%66.67%65.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Darja Vidmanova (Visitante)

Previsão 36.06%2.77odd justa
EV -0.822%
Vantagem -0.299%
Kelly -0.470%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.37%36.13%36.02%37.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.602.602.7540.00%38.42%38.46%36.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -2.18%E -1.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 21:30
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -2.18%E -1.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 21:30
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.82%E -1.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.63%E -0.972%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-05 22:39
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -2.82%E -1.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -3.35%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 22:40
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -3.46%E -2.29%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -6.59%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 22:40
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -3.46%E -2.29%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.38%EV -8.76%E -3.46%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.63%E -0.972%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 15:05
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 20:59
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 20:55
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 22:39
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 09:40
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 21:30
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 17:35
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 22:40
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 22:40
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 21:30
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 16:25
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -5.87%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 22:39
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 22:40
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -1.90%E -0.700%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 20:50
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 16:25
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 20:55
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 22:19
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 20:54
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 17:45
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 17:45
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 20:55
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 22:40
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 17:45
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.63%E -0.972%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 13:29
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -3.71%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 16:25
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:25
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 17:40
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 22:40
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 22:20
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 20:55
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.822%E -0.299%K -0.470%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 05:55
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.15%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 22:40
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 22:40
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 22:40
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 22:40
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 20:55
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.57%E -5.99%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-03-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-03-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-03-05 22:40
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-03-05 22:40
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-03-05 22:40
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%2.6%2026-03-05 22:40