L’École des cotes

Cristina Bucsa v Darja Vidmanova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cristina Bucsa (Local)

Prévision 63.94%1.56cote équitable
EV -2.18%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -4.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.50%63.87%63.98%65.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.491.501.5369.93%67.32%66.67%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Darja Vidmanova (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.06%2.77cote équitable
EV -0.822%
Avantage -0.299%
Kelly -0.470%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.37%36.13%36.02%37.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.602.602.7540.00%38.42%38.46%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -2.18%E -1.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 21:30
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -2.18%E -1.42%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 21:30
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.82%E -1.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -2.63%E -0.972%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-05 22:39
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -2.82%E -1.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -3.35%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-05 22:40
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -3.46%E -2.29%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -6.59%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 22:40
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -3.46%E -2.29%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.38%EV -8.76%E -3.46%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.63%E -0.972%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 15:05
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 20:59
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-05 20:55
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 22:39
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 09:40
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 22:40
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 21:30
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 17:35
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 22:40
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 22:40
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 21:30
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.10%E -2.73%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 16:25
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -5.87%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 22:39
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -4.74%E -3.18%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 22:40
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -1.90%E -0.700%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 20:50
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:20
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 16:25
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 20:55
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 22:19
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 20:54
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 17:45
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 17:45
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 20:55
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 22:40
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.38%E -3.63%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.84%E -3.94%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 17:45
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.63%E -0.972%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 13:29
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -3.71%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 16:25
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.02%E -4.09%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.43%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 19:25
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 17:40
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 22:40
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 22:20
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.29%E -5.03%K -16.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.40%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 20:55
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.822%E -0.299%K -0.470%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 05:55
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -5.15%E -1.96%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 22:40
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 22:40
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 22:40
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 22:40
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.93%E -5.51%K -18.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.51%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 20:55
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.57%E -5.99%K -19.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -8.04%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-05 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-03-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-03-05 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-03-05 22:40
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%0.7%2026-03-05 22:40
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-03-05 22:40
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%2.6%2026-03-05 22:40