StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka v Victoria Mboko

Matchstart: 2026-03-12 18:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma)

Prognos 74.26%1.35rättvist odds
EV -2.71%
Fördel -2.07%
Kelly -8.76%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.31

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
72.49%74.27%74.30%76.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.241.281.281.3180.65%78.19%78.13%76.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Victoria Mboko (Borta)

Prognos 25.74%3.89rättvist odds
EV +2.94%
Fördel +0.736%
Kelly +0.981%
Tillväxt +0.029%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.95%25.73%25.70%27.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.693.754.0029.41%27.09%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma): 74.26%; Victoria Mboko (Borta): 25.74%. För Victoria Mboko (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.89. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.94%.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.94%E +0.736%K +0.981%G +0.029%4.4%2026-03-12 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +1.66%E +0.420%K +0.562%G +0.009%3.4%2026-03-12 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV +0.885%E +0.226%K +0.303%G +0.003%4.3%2026-03-12 15:45
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.95%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 25.05%EV +0.113%E +0.029%K +0.039%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-12 14:30
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.916%E -0.238%K -0.321%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 17:40
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.15%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.85%EV -1.17%E -0.306%K -0.413%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 06:09
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 21:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.91%E -6.38%K -32.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 15:40
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 12:08
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 00:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 17:54
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 15:40
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:35
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 17:55
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 17:55
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.29%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 12:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 09:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 17:50
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -2.71%E -2.07%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -6.58%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -2.71%E -2.07%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -6.58%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 09:55
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.71%E -2.07%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 11:15
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 17:35
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 13:40
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 23:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 23:14
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -8.64%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 12:50
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 11:15
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 11:15
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 11:20
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 17:39
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.21%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 17:55
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 14:34
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 11:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-12 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-12 17:20
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-12 17:45
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-03-12 17:55
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 75.19%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.81%2.3%2026-03-12 17:55