L’École des cotes

Aryna Sabalenka v Victoria Mboko

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-12 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Prévision 74.26%1.35cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -2.07%
Kelly -8.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.49%74.27%74.30%76.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.241.281.281.3180.65%78.19%78.13%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Victoria Mboko (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.74%3.89cote équitable
EV +2.94%
Avantage +0.736%
Kelly +0.981%
Croissance +0.029%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.95%25.73%25.70%27.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.693.754.0029.41%27.09%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.94%E +0.736%K +0.981%G +0.029%4.4%2026-03-12 17:45
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +1.66%E +0.420%K +0.562%G +0.009%3.4%2026-03-12 17:55
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV +0.885%E +0.226%K +0.303%G +0.003%4.3%2026-03-12 15:45
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 74.95%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 25.05%EV +0.113%E +0.029%K +0.039%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-12 14:30
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.916%E -0.238%K -0.321%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 17:40
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 75.15%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.85%EV -1.17%E -0.306%K -0.413%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 06:09
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 17:55
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 17:55
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 17:55
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 17:35
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 21:55
NetBet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.91%E -6.38%K -32.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 15:40
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 12:08
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 00:19
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 17:54
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:20
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:20
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:10
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 15:40
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:35
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 17:55
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 17:55
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 17:55
Unibet (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 17:55
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 17:40
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.29%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 12:10
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 12:35
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 09:15
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 11:15
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 17:50
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 17:50
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 16:25
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -2.71%E -2.07%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -6.58%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 09:55
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -2.71%E -2.07%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -6.58%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 09:55
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.71%E -2.07%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 11:15
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 17:35
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 13:40
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 23:14
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 23:14
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -8.64%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 12:50
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 11:15
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 11:15
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 11:20
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 17:39
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.21%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 17:55
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 14:34
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 11:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-12 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-12 17:20
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-12 17:45
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-03-12 17:55
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 75.19%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.81%2.3%2026-03-12 17:55