Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka v Victoria Mboko

Início: 2026-03-12 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Previsão 74.26%1.35odd justa
EV -2.71%
Vantagem -2.07%
Kelly -8.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.49%74.27%74.30%76.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.241.281.281.3180.65%78.19%78.13%76.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Victoria Mboko (Visitante)

Previsão 25.74%3.89odd justa
EV +2.94%
Vantagem +0.736%
Kelly +0.981%
Crescimento +0.029%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.95%25.73%25.70%27.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.693.754.0029.41%27.09%26.67%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 74.26%; Victoria Mboko (Visitante): 25.74%. Para Victoria Mboko (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.89. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.94%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.94%E +0.736%K +0.981%G +0.029%4.4%2026-03-12 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +1.66%E +0.420%K +0.562%G +0.009%3.4%2026-03-12 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV +0.885%E +0.226%K +0.303%G +0.003%4.3%2026-03-12 15:45
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.95%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 25.05%EV +0.113%E +0.029%K +0.039%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-12 14:30
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.916%E -0.238%K -0.321%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 17:40
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.15%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.85%EV -1.17%E -0.306%K -0.413%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 06:09
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 21:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.91%E -6.38%K -32.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 15:40
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 12:08
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 00:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 17:54
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 00:19
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 17:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 15:40
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:35
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 17:55
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 17:55
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.29%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 12:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 09:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 17:50
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -2.71%E -2.07%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -6.58%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 09:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -2.71%E -2.07%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -6.58%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 09:55
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.71%E -2.07%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 11:15
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 17:35
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 13:40
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 23:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 23:14
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -8.64%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 12:50
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 11:15
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 11:15
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 11:20
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 17:39
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.21%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 17:55
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 14:34
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 11:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-12 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-12 17:20
Matchbook1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-03-12 17:45
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-03-12 17:55
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 75.19%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.81%2.3%2026-03-12 17:55