La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Aryna Sabalenka v Victoria Mboko
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Predicción 74.26%1.35momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -2.07%
Kelly -8.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.49%74.27%74.30%76.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.281.281.3180.65%78.19%78.13%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Victoria Mboko (Visitante)
Predicción 25.74%3.89momio equitativo
EV +2.94%
Ventaja +0.736%
Kelly +0.981%
Crecimiento +0.029%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.95%25.73%25.70%27.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.693.754.0029.41%27.09%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.94%E +0.736%K +0.981%G +0.029% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +1.66%E +0.420%K +0.562%G +0.009% | 3.4% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV +0.885%E +0.226%K +0.303%G +0.003% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 15:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.95%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 25.05%EV +0.113%E +0.029%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-12 14:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.916%E -0.238%K -0.321%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| GTbets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.15%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.85%EV -1.17%E -0.306%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 06:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 21:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.91%E -6.38%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -2.20%E -0.580%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 12:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 00:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 17:54 |
| Casumo | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 00:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 00:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 00:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 00:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 00:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 00:19 |
| Unibet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 00:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 00:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 00:19 |
| betPARX | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 00:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 00:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 00:19 |
| BetUS | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 17:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 15:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.49%E -0.931%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.75%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Betsson | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -4.78%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -5.29%E -1.44%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 12:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 09:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.68%E -4.48%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Fliff | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -2.71%E -2.07%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -6.58%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 09:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -2.71%E -2.07%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -6.58%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 09:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.71%E -2.07%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 11:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 17:35 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 13:40 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 23:14 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -8.64%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 12:50 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 11:15 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 11:15 |
| TAB | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 11:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.92%E -2.84%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 17:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.21%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Caesars | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 14:34 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -4.94%E -3.86%K -17.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -12.50%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 11:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 17:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 17:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93% | 1.9% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |
| Novig | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.19% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.81% | 2.3% | 2026-03-12 17:55 |