La scuola delle quote

Aryna Sabalenka v Naomi Osaka

Inizio: 2026-03-10 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Casa)

Previsione 82.15%1.22quota equa
EV -1.42%
Vantaggio -1.19%
Kelly -7.12%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
79.37%82.08%82.43%84.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.121.161.161.2089.29%86.26%86.21%83.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Naomi Osaka (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.85%5.60quota equa
EV +7.12%
Vantaggio +1.19%
Kelly +1.42%
Crescita +0.101%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.97%17.92%17.57%20.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.195.106.0022.22%19.28%19.61%16.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +7.12%E +1.19%K +1.42%G +0.101%4.4%2026-03-10 06:29
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 83.52%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.93I 16.86%NM 16.48%EV +5.87%E +0.990%K +1.19%G +0.070%2.3%2026-03-10 17:30
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.17%E -6.35%K -55.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +2.66%E +0.463%K +0.560%G +0.015%5.9%2026-03-10 17:55
Coolbet1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +1.77%E +0.310%K +0.376%G +0.007%3.0%2026-03-10 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 16:00
FanDuel1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 17:05
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 17:00
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 09:14
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 10:44
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 10:15
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 10:15
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.59%E -0.665%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 17:48
PointsBet (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.59%E -0.665%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 17:55
Fanatics1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.59%E -0.665%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 09:52
Unibet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.37%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 17:54
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.17%E -6.35%K -55.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -5.37%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 16:34
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -8.00%E -7.14%K -66.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -5.37%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 17:50
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 16:00
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 17:45
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 06:39
Betr (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 06:40
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 06:39
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 16:00
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 16:00
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 17:15
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 16:00
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 12:00
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:55
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:54
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:55
Casumo1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:55
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:54
LeoVegas1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:54
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:54
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:55
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:55
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:55
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:54
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:55
BetOnline.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 17:35
LowVig.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 17:35
Fliff1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 17:55
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.07%E -2.60%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -9.84%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 17:50
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 08:54
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 17:45
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 16:05
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 17:55
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 17:34
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 17:00
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 06:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 06:40
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV -2.25%E -1.89%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -11.44%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 10:54
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.30%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 17:49
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -14.30%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 08:54
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -14.30%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 08:55
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -1.42%E -1.19%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -15.19%E -3.20%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 15:25
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -17.87%E -3.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 17:35
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -19.66%E -4.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 17:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10%0.2%2026-03-10 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-03-10 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-03-10 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-03-10 17:45
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-03-10 17:50
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-03-10 17:50