StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka v Naomi Osaka

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-10 18:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Aryna Sabalenka (Heim)

Prognose 82.15%1.22faire Quote
EV -1.42%
Vorteil -1.19%
Kelly -7.12%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
79.37%82.08%82.43%84.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.121.161.161.2089.29%86.26%86.21%83.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Naomi Osaka (Auswärts)

Prognose 17.85%5.60faire Quote
EV +7.12%
Vorteil +1.19%
Kelly +1.42%
Wachstum +0.101%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.97%17.92%17.57%20.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.505.195.106.0022.22%19.28%19.61%16.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Aryna Sabalenka (Heim): 82.15%; Naomi Osaka (Auswärts): 17.85%. Für Naomi Osaka (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.60. 4 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +7.12%.

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +7.12%E +1.19%K +1.42%G +0.101%4.4%2026-03-10 06:29
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 83.52%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.93I 16.86%NM 16.48%EV +5.87%E +0.990%K +1.19%G +0.070%2.3%2026-03-10 17:30
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.17%E -6.35%K -55.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +2.66%E +0.463%K +0.560%G +0.015%5.9%2026-03-10 17:55
Coolbet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +1.77%E +0.310%K +0.376%G +0.007%3.0%2026-03-10 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 16:00
FanDuel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 17:05
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 17:00
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 09:14
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 10:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 10:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 10:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.59%E -0.665%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 17:48
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.59%E -0.665%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.59%E -0.665%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 09:52
Unibet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.37%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 17:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.17%E -6.35%K -55.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -5.37%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 16:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -8.00%E -7.14%K -66.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -5.37%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 16:00
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 17:45
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 06:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 06:40
Coral🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 06:39
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 16:00
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 17:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 16:00
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 12:00
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:54
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:55
Casumo🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:55
Grosvenor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:54
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:54
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:55
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:55
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:55
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 17:35
Fliff🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 17:55
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.07%E -2.60%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -9.84%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 17:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 08:54
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-10 17:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 16:05
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 17:55
Everygame🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 17:34
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 17:00
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 06:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 06:40
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV -2.25%E -1.89%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -11.44%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 10:54
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.30%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 17:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -14.30%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 08:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -14.30%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 08:55
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -1.42%E -1.19%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -15.19%E -3.20%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 15:25
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -17.87%E -3.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 17:35
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -19.66%E -4.37%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 17:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10%0.2%2026-03-10 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-03-10 17:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-03-10 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-03-10 17:45
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-03-10 17:50
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%2.1%2026-03-10 17:50