Langue:Français
Aryna Sabalenka v Naomi Osaka
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Prévision 82.15%1.22cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -7.12%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.37%82.08%82.43%84.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.121.161.161.2089.29%86.26%86.21%83.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Naomi Osaka (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.85%5.60cote équitable
EV +7.12%
Avantage +1.19%
Kelly +1.42%
Croissance +0.101%
avec la cote maximale 6.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.97%17.92%17.57%20.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.195.106.0022.22%19.28%19.61%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aryna Sabalenka (Local) : 82.15% ; Naomi Osaka (Visiteur) : 17.85%. Pour Naomi Osaka (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.60. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.00, soit une espérance positive de +7.12%.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +7.12%E +1.19%K +1.42%G +0.101% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 06:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.52%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.48%EV +5.87%E +0.990%K +1.19%G +0.070% | 2.3% | 2026-03-10 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.17%E -6.35%K -55.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +2.66%E +0.463%K +0.560%G +0.015% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 17:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +1.77%E +0.310%K +0.376%G +0.007% | 3.0% | 2026-03-10 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 09:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 10:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 10:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 10:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.59%E -0.665%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 17:48 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.59%E -0.665%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.59%E -0.665%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 09:52 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.37%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 17:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.17%E -6.35%K -55.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -5.37%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 16:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -8.00%E -7.14%K -66.64%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -5.37%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 16:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 06:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 06:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 06:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 16:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 12:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 17:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-10 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.07%E -2.60%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -9.84%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 17:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 08:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 17:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 16:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 17:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 17:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 06:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 06:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV -2.25%E -1.89%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -11.44%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 10:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.30%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 17:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -14.30%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 08:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -14.30%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 08:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -1.42%E -1.19%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -15.19%E -3.20%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 15:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -17.87%E -3.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-10 17:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -19.66%E -4.37%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 17:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 0.2% | 2026-03-10 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 17:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-03-10 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32% | 2.1% | 2026-03-10 17:50 |