La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Aryna Sabalenka v Naomi Osaka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Predicción 82.15%1.22momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -7.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.37%82.08%82.43%84.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.121.161.161.2089.29%86.26%86.21%83.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Naomi Osaka (Visitante)
Predicción 17.85%5.60momio equitativo
EV +7.12%
Ventaja +1.19%
Kelly +1.42%
Crecimiento +0.101%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.97%17.92%17.57%20.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.195.106.0022.22%19.28%19.61%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +7.12%E +1.19%K +1.42%G +0.101% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 06:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.52%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.48%EV +5.87%E +0.990%K +1.19%G +0.070% | 2.3% | 2026-03-10 17:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.17%E -6.35%K -55.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +2.66%E +0.463%K +0.560%G +0.015% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 17:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.97%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.03%EV +1.77%E +0.310%K +0.376%G +0.007% | 3.0% | 2026-03-10 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 16:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 17:05 |
| Betway | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 17:00 |
| 888sport | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 09:14 |
| William Hill | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 10:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 10:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.80%E -0.328%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 10:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.59%E -0.665%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 17:48 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.59%E -0.665%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 17:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.59%E -0.665%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 09:52 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -5.37%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 17:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.17%E -6.35%K -55.19%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -5.37%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 16:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -8.00%E -7.14%K -66.64%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -5.37%E -1.01%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 16:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 17:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 06:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 06:40 |
| Coral | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -6.27%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 06:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 16:00 |
| Betsson | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 16:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -7.16%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 12:00 |
| GTbets | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:55 |
| Casumo | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:54 |
| Bally Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:55 |
| betPARX | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:55 |
| Unibet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 17:35 |
| Fliff | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -5.53%E -4.81%K -36.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -8.95%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-10 17:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.07%E -2.60%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -9.84%E -1.95%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 17:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 08:54 |
| BetUS | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 17:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 16:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 17:55 |
| Everygame | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 17:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 17:00 |
| Neds | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 06:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.35%E -5.57%K -45.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.73%E -2.15%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 06:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV -2.25%E -1.89%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -11.44%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 10:54 |
| Caesars | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -14.30%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 17:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -14.30%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 08:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -14.30%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 08:55 |
| Bovada | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -1.42%E -1.19%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -15.19%E -3.20%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 15:25 |
| TAB | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -4.71%E -4.06%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -17.87%E -3.89%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-10 17:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -3.89%E -3.32%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -19.66%E -4.37%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 17:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10% | 0.2% | 2026-03-10 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 17:45 |
| Novig | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-03-10 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32% | 2.1% | 2026-03-10 17:50 |