Language:English
Magdalena Frech v Nao Hibino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Magdalena Frech (Local)
Prediction 76.83%1.30fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -8.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.60%76.76%76.92%77.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.231.241.2784.75%81.07%80.65%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nao Hibino (Visit)
Prediction 23.17%4.32fair odd
EV -0.364%
Edge -0.085%
Kelly -0.110%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.02%23.24%23.08%25.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.034.104.3027.03%24.81%24.39%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Magdalena Frech (Local): 76.83%; Nao Hibino (Visit): 23.17%. For Nao Hibino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.30, with an expected value of -0.364%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.75%EV -2.43%E -1.91%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -12.88%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 15:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV -2.45%E -0.582%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-14 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.95%E -3.14%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -14.27%E -3.86%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 10:41 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -14.27%E -3.86%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 10:41 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -3.96%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV -0.364%E -0.085%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-14 15:01 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.96%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-14 09:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.59%EV -3.96%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.41%EV -5.23%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-14 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.96%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 05:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.96%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 05:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.96%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 09:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.96%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.79%E -2.80%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 09:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -1.75%E -0.414%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-14 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -1.75%E -0.414%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-14 15:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.68%E -0.638%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-14 15:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 15:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 15:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 07:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 07:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 07:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 07:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 07:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 07:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 07:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 07:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 07:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 07:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 07:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 07:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 07:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 07:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 12:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 08:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 10:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -11.95%E -3.14%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 08:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.50%E -4.47%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.364%E -0.085%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-14 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.50%E -4.47%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 15:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.50%E -4.47%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.50%E -4.47%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.50%E -4.47%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-14 15:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.50%E -4.47%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -6.16%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-14 15:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.50%E -4.47%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 12:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.44%EV -5.50%E -4.47%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.56%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 12:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.52%E -0.358%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 08:06 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.68%E -0.638%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 15:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 15:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.47%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.95%E -3.14%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 10:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.95%E -3.14%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 10:41 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.11%E -3.50%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 15:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.11%E -3.50%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 15:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -7.04%E -5.82%K -33.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.95%E -3.14%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 15:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.81%E -6.50%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -1.52%E -0.358%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-14 15:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.81%E -6.50%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 15:06 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.81%E -6.50%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 15:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.81%E -6.50%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 06:51 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.81%E -6.50%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 07:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.00%EV -9.34%E -7.92%K -51.90%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -8.47%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-14 14:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-09-14 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 22.24% | 1.3% | 2026-09-14 12:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-09-14 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-09-14 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-09-14 15:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 2.1% | 2026-09-14 15:26 |