Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Magdalena Frech v Nao Hibino

2026-09-14 21:00 UTC — WTA Guadalajara Open

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Magdalena Frech (Local)

Prediction 76.02%1.32fair odd
EV +1.10%
Edge +0.829%
Kelly +3.34%
Growth +0.037%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.23%75.96%76.19%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.241.3383.33%80.42%80.65%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nao Hibino (Visit)

Prediction 23.98%4.17fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.407%
Kelly -0.539%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.08%24.04%23.81%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.944.004.1027.78%25.37%25.00%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Magdalena Frech (Local): 76.02%; Nao Hibino (Visit): 23.98%. For Magdalena Frech (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.32. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.33, producing a positive expected value of +1.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 75.00%EV +1.10%E +0.829%K +3.34%G +0.037%3.99I 25.06%NM 25.00%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%0.3%2026-09-14 05:40
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.46%E -2.72%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.47%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 06:24
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -3.46%E -2.72%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.76%EV -7.43%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 06:35
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.46%E -2.72%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.67%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 06:25
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.75%EV -3.46%E -2.72%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -9.82%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.67%E -0.407%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-14 07:11
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.22%E -3.35%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.87%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 07:04
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.98%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.98%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:04
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.98%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.98%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 05:35
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.98%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.98%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 05:35
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.98%E -3.98%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 06:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.98%E -3.98%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.27%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.98%E -3.98%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.67%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 07:10
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.98%E -3.98%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.67%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 05:35
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.98%E -3.98%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 07:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.98%E -3.98%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 05:35
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.98%E -3.98%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.66%E -3.80%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 07:05
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.98%E -3.98%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.66%E -3.80%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 07:05
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.67%E -0.407%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.67%E -0.407%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.67%E -0.407%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.67%E -0.407%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.67%E -0.407%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.67%E -0.407%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.67%E -0.407%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.67%E -0.407%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.67%E -0.407%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.67%E -0.407%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.67%E -0.407%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.67%E -0.407%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.67%E -0.407%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.67%E -0.407%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.27%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 07:05
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.47%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.47%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -6.47%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 07:11
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.87%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 07:11
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.74%E -4.63%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.87%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 07:11
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.50%E -5.28%K -28.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -1.67%E -0.407%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 07:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.50%E -5.28%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 07:10
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.50%E -5.28%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 07:10
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 05:36
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 06:40
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.87%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 05:35
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.26%E -5.95%K -33.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.06%E -2.68%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 05:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.78%E -7.32%K -43.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.07%E -1.02%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 06:51
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -8.78%E -7.32%K -43.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.47%E -1.66%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%4.3%2026-09-14 07:05
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%10.4%2026-09-14 07:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 73.99%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.01%16.5%2026-09-14 07:20
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 73.99%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.01%16.5%2026-09-14 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 73.99%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.01%16.5%2026-09-14 07:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 73.99%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.01%16.5%2026-09-14 07:16
Arbitrage (16 combinations) +0.42%GTbets 1.33 (75.5%) / FanDuel 4.10 (24.5%)Show all 16 combinations
Magdalena Frech (Local)Nao Hibino (Visit)Margin
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Winamax (DE)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)BetRivers🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Virgin Bet🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Grosvenor🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Casumo🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)TABtouch🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Unibet🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)betPARX🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Bally Bet🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%