StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Magdalena Frech v Nao Hibino

2026-09-14 21:00 UTC — WTA Guadalajara Open

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Magdalena Frech (Heim)

Prognose 76.18%1.31faire Quote
EV +1.32%
Vorteil +0.989%
Kelly +3.99%
Wachstum +0.052%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
74.07%76.12%76.19%77.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.201.241.241.3383.33%80.41%80.65%75.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Nao Hibino (Auswärts)

Prognose 23.82%4.20faire Quote
EV +1.25%
Vorteil +0.293%
Kelly +0.384%
Wachstum +0.005%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.30%23.88%23.81%25.93%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.603.954.004.2527.78%25.32%25.00%23.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Magdalena Frech (Heim): 76.18%; Nao Hibino (Auswärts): 23.82%. Für Magdalena Frech (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.31. 1 Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 1.33 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +1.32%.

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 75.00%EV +1.32%E +0.989%K +3.99%G +0.052%3.99I 25.06%NM 25.00%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%0.3%2026-09-14 05:40
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 06:24
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.76%EV -8.04%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 06:35
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 06:25
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.75%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -10.43%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-14 08:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-14 07:11
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 07:04
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 07:46
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:04
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 05:35
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 05:35
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 06:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.90%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 07:10
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 05:35
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 07:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 05:35
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 07:05
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 07:05
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 08:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.90%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 07:05
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 07:11
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 07:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 07:10
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.25%E +0.293%K +0.384%G +0.005%5.5%2026-09-14 08:06
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 05:36
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 06:40
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 05:35
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 05:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 06:51
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%4.3%2026-09-14 07:05
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%10.4%2026-09-14 07:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 74.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%19.6%2026-09-14 08:05
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 74.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%19.6%2026-09-14 08:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 74.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%19.6%2026-09-14 08:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 74.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%19.6%2026-09-14 08:05
Arbitrage (18 Kombinationen) +1.30%GTbets 1.33 (76.2%) / Betway 4.25 (23.8%)Alle 18 Kombinationen anzeigen
Magdalena Frech (Heim)Nao Hibino (Auswärts)Marge
GTbets🎯 1.33 (76.2%)Betway🎯 4.25 (23.8%)+1.30%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Betclic (FR)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Winamax (DE)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)BetRivers🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Virgin Bet🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Grosvenor🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Casumo🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)TABtouch🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Unibet🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)betPARX🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Bally Bet🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%