Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Magdalena Frech v Nao Hibino

2026-09-14 21:00 UTC — WTA Guadalajara Open

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Magdalena Frech (Local)

Predicción 76.18%1.31momio equitativo
EV +1.32%
Ventaja +0.989%
Kelly +3.99%
Crecimiento +0.052%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.07%76.12%76.19%77.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.201.241.241.3383.33%80.41%80.65%75.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nao Hibino (Visitante)

Predicción 23.82%4.20momio equitativo
EV +1.25%
Ventaja +0.293%
Kelly +0.384%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.30%23.88%23.81%25.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.954.004.2527.78%25.32%25.00%23.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Magdalena Frech (Local): 76.18%; Nao Hibino (Visitante): 23.82%. Para Magdalena Frech (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.31. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 1.33, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.32%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 75.00%EV +1.32%E +0.989%K +3.99%G +0.052%3.99I 25.06%NM 25.00%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%0.3%2026-09-14 05:40
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 06:24
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.76%EV -8.04%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 06:35
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 06:25
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.75%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -10.43%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-14 08:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-14 07:11
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 07:04
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 07:46
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:04
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 05:35
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 05:35
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 06:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.90%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 07:10
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 05:35
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 07:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 05:35
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 07:05
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 07:05
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 08:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.90%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 07:05
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 07:11
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 07:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 07:10
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.25%E +0.293%K +0.384%G +0.005%5.5%2026-09-14 08:06
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 05:36
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 06:40
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 05:35
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 05:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 06:51
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%4.3%2026-09-14 07:05
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%10.4%2026-09-14 07:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 74.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%19.6%2026-09-14 08:05
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 74.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%19.6%2026-09-14 08:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 74.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%19.6%2026-09-14 08:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 74.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%19.6%2026-09-14 08:05
Arbitraje (18 combinaciones) +1.30%GTbets 1.33 (76.2%) / Betway 4.25 (23.8%)Ver las 18 combinaciones
Magdalena Frech (Local)Nao Hibino (Visitante)Margen
GTbets🎯 1.33 (76.2%)Betway🎯 4.25 (23.8%)+1.30%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Betclic (FR)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Winamax (DE)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)BetRivers🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Virgin Bet🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Grosvenor🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Casumo🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)TABtouch🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Unibet🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)betPARX🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Bally Bet🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%