L’École des cotesodds.tennis
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Magdalena Frech v Nao Hibino

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-14 16:00 UTC

Score final : Magdalena Frech 2–0 Nao Hibino

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Magdalena Frech (Local)

Prévision 76.83%1.30cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -1.91%
Kelly -8.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.60%76.76%76.92%77.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.181.231.241.2784.75%81.07%80.65%78.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Nao Hibino (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.17%4.32cote équitable
EV -0.364%
Avantage -0.085%
Kelly -0.110%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.02%23.24%23.08%25.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.034.104.3027.03%24.81%24.39%23.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Magdalena Frech (Local) : 76.83% ; Nao Hibino (Visiteur) : 23.17%. Pour Nao Hibino (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.32. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.30, pour une espérance de -0.364% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.75%EV -2.43%E -1.91%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -12.88%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 15:45
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV -2.45%E -0.582%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-14 15:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.95%E -3.14%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -14.27%E -3.86%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 10:41
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.20%E -2.54%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -14.27%E -3.86%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 10:41
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -3.96%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV -0.364%E -0.085%K -0.110%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-14 15:01
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.96%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 09:00
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.59%EV -3.96%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.41%EV -5.23%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 08:55
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.96%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 05:35
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.96%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 05:35
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.96%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 09:01
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.96%E -3.17%K -15.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.79%E -2.80%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 09:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -1.75%E -0.414%K -0.541%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -1.75%E -0.414%K -0.541%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.68%E -0.638%K -0.838%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-14 15:05
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 15:05
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 15:04
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 12:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 08:05
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 10:40
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.73%E -3.82%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -11.95%E -3.14%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 08:54
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.50%E -4.47%K -23.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.364%E -0.085%K -0.110%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 15:05
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.50%E -4.47%K -23.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 15:05
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.50%E -4.47%K -23.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.50%E -4.47%K -23.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.50%E -4.47%K -23.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 15:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.50%E -4.47%K -23.92%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -6.16%E -1.52%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 15:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.50%E -4.47%K -23.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 12:20
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.44%EV -5.50%E -4.47%K -23.92%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.56%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 12:20
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.52%E -0.358%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 08:06
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.68%E -0.638%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 15:05
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.00%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 15:05
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 15:01
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -8.47%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-14 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.95%E -3.14%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 10:40
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.95%E -3.14%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 10:41
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.11%E -3.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 15:05
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.27%E -5.14%K -28.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.11%E -3.50%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 15:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -7.04%E -5.82%K -33.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.95%E -3.14%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 15:25
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.81%E -6.50%K -39.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -1.52%E -0.358%K -0.468%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 15:04
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.81%E -6.50%K -39.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 15:06
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.81%E -6.50%K -39.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.81%E -6.50%K -39.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.31%E -1.83%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 06:51
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.81%E -6.50%K -39.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.63%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 07:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.00%EV -9.34%E -7.92%K -51.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -8.47%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-14 14:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-09-14 14:55
Novig◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76%4.44I 22.52%NM 22.24%1.3%2026-09-14 12:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-09-14 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-09-14 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-09-14 15:30
Smarkets◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%2.1%2026-09-14 15:26