Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Magdalena Frech v Nao Hibino

2026-09-14 21:00 UTC — WTA Guadalajara Open

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Magdalena Frech (Local)

Prévision 76.18%1.31cote équitable
EV +1.32%
Avantage +0.989%
Kelly +3.99%
Croissance +0.052%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.07%76.12%76.19%77.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.201.241.241.3383.33%80.41%80.65%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Nao Hibino (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.82%4.20cote équitable
EV +1.25%
Avantage +0.293%
Kelly +0.384%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.30%23.88%23.81%25.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.954.004.2527.78%25.32%25.00%23.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Magdalena Frech (Local) : 76.18% ; Nao Hibino (Visiteur) : 23.82%. Pour Magdalena Frech (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.31. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 1.33, pour une espérance positive de +1.32%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 75.00%EV +1.32%E +0.989%K +3.99%G +0.052%3.99I 25.06%NM 25.00%EV -4.95%E -1.24%K -1.65%G +0.000%0.3%2026-09-14 05:40
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 06:24
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.76%EV -8.04%E -2.08%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-14 06:35
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 06:25
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.75%EV -3.25%E -2.56%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -10.43%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-14 08:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-14 07:11
Marathon Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 07:04
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.02%E -3.19%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 07:46
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:04
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 05:35
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 05:35
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 06:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.90%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 07:10
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.28%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 05:35
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 07:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 05:35
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 07:05
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.78%E -3.82%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.24%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 07:05
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 08:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.90%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 07:05
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.54%E -4.47%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 07:11
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.33%E -0.568%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 07:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 07:10
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.30%E -5.12%K -27.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +1.25%E +0.293%K +0.384%G +0.005%5.5%2026-09-14 08:06
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 05:36
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 06:40
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -9.47%E -2.49%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 05:35
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.06%E -5.79%K -32.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.66%E -2.84%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 05:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 06:51
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -8.59%E -7.16%K -42.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.09%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 07:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%4.3%2026-09-14 07:05
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 74.84%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%10.4%2026-09-14 07:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 74.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%19.6%2026-09-14 08:05
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 74.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%19.6%2026-09-14 08:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 74.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%19.6%2026-09-14 08:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 74.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.34%19.6%2026-09-14 08:05
Arbitrage (18 combinaisons) +1.30%GTbets 1.33 (76.2%) / Betway 4.25 (23.8%)Afficher les 18 combinaisons
Magdalena Frech (Local)Nao Hibino (Visiteur)Marge
GTbets🎯 1.33 (76.2%)Betway🎯 4.25 (23.8%)+1.30%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Betclic (FR)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Winamax (DE)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)BetRivers🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Virgin Bet🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Grosvenor🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Casumo🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)TABtouch🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Unibet🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)betPARX🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)Bally Bet🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.5%)FanDuel🎯 4.10 (24.5%)+0.424%