Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.52
assuming max odds 2.81
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Magdalena Frech (Local): 65.49%; Caroline Dolehide (Visit): 34.51%. For Magdalena Frech (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.52, with an expected value of -0.461%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%EV -0.461%E -0.303%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-15 06:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.77%E -1.18%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.36%E -1.20%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-16 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.36%E -1.20%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-16 02:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-15 11:11 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.26%E -3.95%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.26%E -3.95%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 07:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -3.02%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-16 15:56 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -3.02%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-16 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-16 14:31 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-16 04:13 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-16 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 11:11 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 11:11 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 11:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 11:11 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 11:11 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 11:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 11:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 11:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.39%E -3.01%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.40%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -4.39%E -3.01%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -5.78%E -2.12%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 18:06 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.05%E -1.46%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 12:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 03:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 18:51 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-15 12:21 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 07:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 12:46 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 18:51 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 07:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.02%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 04:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.36%E -1.20%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 07:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-16 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 18:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 18:51 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 12:46 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 18:56 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 12:46 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 18:51 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 07:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.57%E -3.65%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-16 12:46 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.57%E -3.65%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-16 12:46 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.26%E -3.95%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-16 08:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.26%E -3.95%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-16 08:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 18:56 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 00:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.26%E -3.95%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 07:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.26%E -3.95%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-15 11:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -7.66%E -5.44%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-16 07:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -7.66%E -5.44%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -8.54%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-16 07:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-16 07:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-16 07:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 21:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 0.3% | 2026-09-16 18:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-09-16 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-09-16 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-09-16 18:51 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.1% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10% | 2.5% | 2026-09-16 18:56 |