Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Magdalena Frech v Caroline Dolehide

2026-09-16 19:00 UTC — WTA Guadalajara Open

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Magdalena Frech (Local)

Prévision 65.89%1.52cote équitable
EV +0.146%
Avantage +0.096%
Kelly +0.280%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.49%65.86%65.85%66.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.431.431.5272.46%70.10%69.93%65.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Caroline Dolehide (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.11%2.93cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -0.973%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.25%34.14%34.15%35.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.772.752.8539.22%36.10%36.30%35.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Magdalena Frech (Local) : 65.89% ; Caroline Dolehide (Visiteur) : 34.11%. Pour Magdalena Frech (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.518. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 1.520, pour une espérance positive de +0.146%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%EV +0.146%E +0.096%K +0.280%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%EV -5.84%E -2.12%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-15 06:25
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.11%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 07:26
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 06:28
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 07:25
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 07:00
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -4.14%E -1.47%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 06:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 07:25
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 06:35
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 07:35
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:15
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:15
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:20
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:19
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:19
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:19
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -3.11%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 06:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 07:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 06:35
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 07:25
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 07:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 06:31
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.44%E -4.54%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 07:25
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.44%E -4.54%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 06:35
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.44%E -4.54%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 07:25
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.75%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -4.14%E -1.47%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 07:25
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 06:25
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 06:25
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 07:24
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 07:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 06:45
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.25%EV -8.42%E -6.06%K -21.59%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 34.75%EV -10.96%E -4.20%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 07:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -8.42%E -6.06%K -21.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -11.30%E -4.35%K -7.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-15 07:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.08%E -6.58%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 07:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.08%E -6.58%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -13.01%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-15 07:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.08%E -6.58%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -13.01%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-15 07:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%10.6%2026-09-15 07:25
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 64.96%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.04%12.4%2026-09-15 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 65.43%2.46I 40.65%NM 34.57%17.6%2026-09-15 06:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 65.43%2.46I 40.65%NM 34.57%17.6%2026-09-15 07:00
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 64.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 36.00%24.0%2026-09-15 06:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 46.28%1.12I 89.29%NM 53.72%66.2%2026-09-15 07:00