Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Magdalena Frech v Caroline Dolehide

2026-09-16 19:00 UTC — WTA Guadalajara Open

Zwycięzca spotkania

50 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Magdalena Frech (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 65.89%1.52kurs godziwy
EV +0.146%
Przewaga +0.096%
Kelly +0.280%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.52

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
64.49%65.86%65.85%66.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.381.431.431.5272.46%70.10%69.93%65.79%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Caroline Dolehide (Goście)

Prognoza 34.11%2.93kurs godziwy
EV -2.77%
Przewaga -0.973%
Kelly -1.50%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.85

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
33.25%34.14%34.15%35.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.552.772.752.8539.22%36.10%36.30%35.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Magdalena Frech (Gospodarze): 65.89%; Caroline Dolehide (Goście): 34.11%. Dla wyniku Magdalena Frech (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.518. 1 bukmacher oferuje kurs powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 1.520, co daje dodatnią wartość oczekiwaną +0.146%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (50 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%EV +0.146%E +0.096%K +0.280%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%EV -5.84%E -2.12%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-15 06:25
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.11%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 07:26
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 06:28
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 07:25
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 07:00
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -4.14%E -1.47%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 06:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 07:25
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 06:35
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 07:35
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:15
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:15
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:20
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:19
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:19
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:19
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -3.11%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 06:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 07:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 06:35
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 07:25
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 07:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 06:31
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.44%E -4.54%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 07:25
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.44%E -4.54%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 06:35
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.44%E -4.54%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 07:25
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.75%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -4.14%E -1.47%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 07:25
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 06:25
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 06:25
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 07:24
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 07:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 06:45
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.25%EV -8.42%E -6.06%K -21.59%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 34.75%EV -10.96%E -4.20%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 07:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -8.42%E -6.06%K -21.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -11.30%E -4.35%K -7.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-15 07:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.08%E -6.58%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 07:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.08%E -6.58%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -13.01%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-15 07:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.08%E -6.58%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -13.01%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-15 07:25
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%10.6%2026-09-15 07:25
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 64.96%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.04%12.4%2026-09-15 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 65.43%2.46I 40.65%NM 34.57%17.6%2026-09-15 06:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 65.43%2.46I 40.65%NM 34.57%17.6%2026-09-15 07:00
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 64.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 36.00%24.0%2026-09-15 06:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 46.28%1.12I 89.29%NM 53.72%66.2%2026-09-15 07:00