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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Magdalena Frech v Caroline Dolehide

2026-09-16 19:00 UTC — WTA Guadalajara Open

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Magdalena Frech (Local)

Predicción 65.89%1.52momio equitativo
EV +0.146%
Ventaja +0.096%
Kelly +0.280%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.49%65.86%65.85%66.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.431.431.5272.46%70.10%69.93%65.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Caroline Dolehide (Visitante)

Predicción 34.11%2.93momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -0.973%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.25%34.14%34.15%35.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.772.752.8539.22%36.10%36.30%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Magdalena Frech (Local): 65.89%; Caroline Dolehide (Visitante): 34.11%. Para Magdalena Frech (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.518. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 1.520, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.146%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%EV +0.146%E +0.096%K +0.280%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%EV -5.84%E -2.12%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-15 06:25
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.11%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 07:26
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 06:28
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 07:25
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 07:00
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -4.14%E -1.47%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 06:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 07:25
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 06:35
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 07:35
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:15
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:15
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:20
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.13%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 06:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:19
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:19
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:20
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.973%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 07:19
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -3.11%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:25
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 06:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 07:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 06:35
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 07:25
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 07:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 06:31
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.44%E -4.54%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 07:25
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.44%E -4.54%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 06:35
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.44%E -4.54%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 07:25
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.75%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -4.14%E -1.47%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 07:25
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 06:25
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 06:25
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 07:24
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 07:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 06:45
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.25%EV -8.42%E -6.06%K -21.59%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 34.75%EV -10.96%E -4.20%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-15 07:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -8.42%E -6.06%K -21.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -11.30%E -4.35%K -7.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-15 07:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -9.08%E -6.58%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 07:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.08%E -6.58%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -13.01%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-15 07:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.08%E -6.58%K -23.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -13.01%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-15 07:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%10.6%2026-09-15 07:25
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 64.96%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.04%12.4%2026-09-15 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 65.43%2.46I 40.65%NM 34.57%17.6%2026-09-15 06:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 65.43%2.46I 40.65%NM 34.57%17.6%2026-09-15 07:00
Matchbook◎1.26I 79.37%NM 64.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 36.00%24.0%2026-09-15 06:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 46.28%1.12I 89.29%NM 53.72%66.2%2026-09-15 07:00