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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Magdalena Frech v Caroline Dolehide

Inicio: 2026-09-16 19:05 UTC

Final: Magdalena Frech 2–0 Caroline Dolehide

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Magdalena Frech (Local)

Predicción 65.49%1.53momio equitativo
EV -0.461%
Ventaja -0.303%
Kelly -0.887%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.73%65.45%65.55%66.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.451.451.5271.43%68.88%68.97%65.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Caroline Dolehide (Visitante)

Predicción 34.51%2.90momio equitativo
EV -3.02%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.73%34.55%34.45%36.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.722.702.8138.46%36.81%37.04%35.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Magdalena Frech (Local): 65.49%; Caroline Dolehide (Visitante): 34.51%. Para Magdalena Frech (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.53. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.52, con un valor esperado de -0.461%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%EV -0.461%E -0.303%K -0.887%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-15 06:25
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -1.77%E -1.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -3.36%E -1.20%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-16 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.36%E -1.20%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-16 02:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 11:11
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.26%E -3.95%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.08%E -2.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.26%E -3.95%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 07:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -3.02%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-16 15:56
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -3.02%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-16 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-16 14:31
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-16 04:13
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-16 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 11:10
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 11:11
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 11:10
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 11:10
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 11:11
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 11:10
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 11:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 11:11
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 11:11
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 11:10
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.74%E -2.54%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 11:10
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.39%E -3.01%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.40%E -1.59%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-16 18:45
ReBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -4.39%E -3.01%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -5.78%E -2.12%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-16 18:06
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.05%E -1.46%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-16 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 12:45
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-16 03:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 18:51
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 12:21
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 07:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 12:46
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 18:51
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 18:45
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.05%E -3.48%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-16 07:45
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.02%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-16 04:14
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.36%E -1.20%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-16 07:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-16 16:10
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 18:51
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 18:51
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 12:46
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 18:56
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 12:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 18:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 07:25
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.57%E -3.65%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 12:46
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.57%E -3.65%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 12:46
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.26%E -3.95%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 08:40
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.70%E -3.96%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.26%E -3.95%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-16 08:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 18:56
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-16 00:30
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-16 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.26%E -3.95%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-16 07:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.01%E -4.94%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.26%E -3.95%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 11:10
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -7.66%E -5.44%K -18.69%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -4.74%E -1.72%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-16 07:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -7.66%E -5.44%K -18.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -8.54%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-16 07:29
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 07:25
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.09%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-16 07:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.32%E -5.94%K -20.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.81%E -2.52%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 21:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%0.3%2026-09-16 18:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-09-16 18:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-09-16 18:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-09-16 18:51
ProphetX◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-09-16 18:55
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-09-16 18:50
Smarkets◎1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%2.5%2026-09-16 18:56