Language:English
Kayla Day v Liudmila Samsonova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kayla Day (Local)
Prediction 29.72%3.36fair odd
EV -0.437%
Edge -0.130%
Kelly -0.186%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.20%29.76%29.61%32.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.153.103.3534.48%31.72%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liudmila Samsonova (Visit)
Prediction 70.28%1.42fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -4.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.76%70.24%70.39%71.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.351.4076.92%74.17%73.80%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kayla Day (Local): 29.72%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visit): 70.28%. For Kayla Day (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.35, with an expected value of -0.437%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -0.437%E -0.130%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.437%E -0.130%K -0.186%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 00:21 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.24%EV -0.734%E -0.220%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.76%EV -3.01%E -2.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-17 00:21 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.54%EV -1.03%E -0.310%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.46%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -1.33%E -0.400%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-17 00:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -1.33%E -0.400%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.20%EV -1.63%E -0.491%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.80%EV -8.64%E -6.64%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.92%E -0.583%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-17 00:31 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -2.81%E -0.861%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.63%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-17 00:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -3.11%E -0.955%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.83%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 00:21 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 00:21 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 00:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.83%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.41%E -1.05%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-17 00:21 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -3.71%E -1.14%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.59%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-17 00:21 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -4.30%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -5.83%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-17 00:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 23:31 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.83%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-17 00:21 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.64%E -6.64%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.64%E -6.64%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.90%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.64%E -6.64%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-16 21:21 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.49%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 23:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.38%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 00:31 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.38%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.38%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.12%E -3.79%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-17 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -6.38%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -7.93%E -6.06%K -25.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-17 00:21 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.72%E -2.71%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.72%E -2.71%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 17:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 17:36 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 19:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 23:26 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 17:36 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 17:36 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 20:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.42%E -3.25%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.83%E -4.35%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -7.87%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.64%E -6.64%K -28.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-17 00:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.61%E -1.15%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 21:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 23:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 23:27 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 20:11 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.84%E -3.61%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.53%E -4.91%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 20:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.81%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.01%E -2.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 20:11 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.81%E -4.76%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.01%E -2.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 20:11 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-09-17 00:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-09-17 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-09-17 00:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-09-17 00:30 |
| Novig◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-09-17 00:26 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 1.4% | 2026-09-17 00:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28% | 2.4% | 2026-09-17 00:26 |