Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Kayla Day v Liudmila Samsonova

2026-09-16 19:00 UTC — WTA Guadalajara Open

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Kayla Day (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 29.90%3.34kurs godziwy
EV -1.33%
Przewaga -0.402%
Kelly -0.577%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.60%29.99%29.91%34.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.753.133.203.3036.36%31.91%31.25%30.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Liudmila Samsonova (Goście)

Prognoza 70.10%1.43kurs godziwy
EV -0.459%
Przewaga -0.324%
Kelly -1.09%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.42

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.95%70.01%70.09%71.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.301.341.341.4276.92%74.45%74.63%70.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Kayla Day (Gospodarze): 29.90%; Liudmila Samsonova (Goście): 70.10%. Dla wyniku Liudmila Samsonova (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.43. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferuje kursu powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 1.42, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.459%; nie daje dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.33%E -0.402%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 05:20
DraftKings🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -1.63%E -0.494%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 05:15
SportsBet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -2.22%E -0.680%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.40%EV -8.17%E -6.24%K -26.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 05:15
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 07:50
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:30
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:30
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:30
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:31
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:31
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:31
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:30
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:30
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:30
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 05:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 05:44
1xBet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.72%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.96%E -2.89%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 07:55
GTbets🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -4.02%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 05:40
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 07:54
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 05:20
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 07:51
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 07:49
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 05:15
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 07:45
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 05:15
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 05:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 06:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -4.91%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 07:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 07:51
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 05:15
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 05:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 07:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 07:30
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.31%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 05:15
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.31%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 05:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.31%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 05:26
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.31%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 05:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.31%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 05:15
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.31%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 05:15
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.80%E -2.89%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 05:15
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.30%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 05:20
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.30%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 06:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.75%EV -11.79%E -4.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.25%EV -8.17%E -6.24%K -26.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 05:16
ReBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.75%EV -11.79%E -4.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.25%EV -8.17%E -6.24%K -26.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 05:15
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.29%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.86%E -1.33%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 07:00
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.29%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.86%E -1.33%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 07:46
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -13.29%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.05%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-15 05:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -14.78%E -5.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.67%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 05:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -16.28%E -5.81%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 07:45
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -16.28%E -5.81%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 07:50
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -17.77%E -6.46%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -0.459%E -0.324%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 07:46
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -17.77%E -6.46%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -0.459%E -0.324%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 07:45
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 29.01%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%6.7%2026-09-15 07:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 34.00%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.00%11.4%2026-09-15 07:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 34.00%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.00%11.4%2026-09-15 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 34.00%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.00%11.4%2026-09-15 07:25
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 31.25%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.75%11.9%2026-09-15 05:15
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 35.31%1.31I 76.34%NM 64.69%18.0%2026-09-15 07:25