Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kayla Day v Liudmila Samsonova

2026-09-16 19:00 UTC — WTA Guadalajara Open

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kayla Day (Local)

Prévision 29.90%3.34cote équitable
EV -1.33%
Avantage -0.402%
Kelly -0.577%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.60%29.99%29.91%34.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.133.203.3036.36%31.91%31.25%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur)

Prévision 70.10%1.43cote équitable
EV -0.459%
Avantage -0.324%
Kelly -1.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.95%70.01%70.09%71.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.301.341.341.4276.92%74.45%74.63%70.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Kayla Day (Local) : 29.90% ; Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur) : 70.10%. Pour Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.43. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.42, pour une espérance de -0.459% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.33%E -0.402%K -0.577%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 05:20
DraftKings🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -1.63%E -0.494%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 05:15
SportsBet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 28.60%EV -2.22%E -0.680%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.40%EV -8.17%E -6.24%K -26.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 05:15
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 07:50
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:30
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:30
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:30
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:31
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:31
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:31
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:30
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:30
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 07:30
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 05:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.82%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 05:44
1xBet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.72%E -1.15%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.96%E -2.89%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 07:55
GTbets🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.61%EV -4.02%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.39%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 05:40
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 07:54
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 05:20
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 07:51
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 07:49
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 05:15
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 07:45
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 05:15
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 05:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 06:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -4.91%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 07:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 07:51
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 05:15
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 05:15
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 07:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-15 07:30
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.31%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 05:15
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.31%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 05:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.31%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 05:26
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.31%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 05:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.31%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 05:15
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.31%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 05:15
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -8.80%E -2.89%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 05:15
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.30%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 05:20
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.30%E -3.43%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 06:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.75%EV -11.79%E -4.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.25%EV -8.17%E -6.24%K -26.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 05:16
ReBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.75%EV -11.79%E -4.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.25%EV -8.17%E -6.24%K -26.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-15 05:15
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.29%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.86%E -1.33%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 07:00
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.29%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.86%E -1.33%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 07:46
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -13.29%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.05%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-15 05:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -14.78%E -5.19%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.67%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-15 05:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -16.28%E -5.81%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 07:45
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -16.28%E -5.81%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 07:50
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -17.77%E -6.46%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -0.459%E -0.324%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 07:46
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -17.77%E -6.46%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -0.459%E -0.324%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-15 07:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 29.01%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%6.7%2026-09-15 07:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 34.00%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.00%11.4%2026-09-15 07:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 34.00%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.00%11.4%2026-09-15 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 34.00%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.00%11.4%2026-09-15 07:25
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 31.25%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.75%11.9%2026-09-15 05:15
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 35.31%1.31I 76.34%NM 64.69%18.0%2026-09-15 07:25