Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.25
assuming max odds 1.29
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alycia Parks (Local): 25.14%; Sara Bejlek (Visit): 74.86%. For Alycia Parks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.83%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +6.83%E +1.61%K +2.10%G +0.144% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-15 15:36 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.84%EV +2.81%E +0.687%K +0.909%G +0.026% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.16%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-15 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV +1.80%E +0.446%K +0.592%G +0.011% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +0.548%E +0.137%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-15 12:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.97%E -0.504%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.97%E -0.504%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 08:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -2.97%E -0.770%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-15 08:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -2.97%E -0.770%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-15 08:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.22%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 12:21 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.22%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-15 12:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 15:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-15 08:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -4.98%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-15 08:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-15 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-15 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-15 15:11 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 08:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-15 13:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-15 13:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-15 08:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.05%EV -5.99%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.95%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 11:11 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -6.49%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 10:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 13:16 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -9.42%E -7.78%K -44.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 08:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.50%E -2.04%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.04%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 04:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-15 09:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 13:16 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 13:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 13:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 13:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 07:36 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 08:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 15:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-15 08:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-15 08:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 10:46 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.92%E -6.44%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 11:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 11:11 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.28%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.28%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 10:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 0.1% | 2026-09-15 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 1.3% | 2026-09-15 13:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 1.3% | 2026-09-15 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 1.3% | 2026-09-15 13:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 1.3% | 2026-09-15 13:40 |
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.63% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.37% | 1.5% | 2026-09-15 15:26 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29% | 1.6% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |