Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alycia Parks v Sara Bejlek

Início: 2026-09-15 16:00 UTC

Final: Alycia Parks 0–2 Sara Bejlek

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alycia Parks (Local)

Previsão 25.14%3.98odd justa
EV +6.83%
Vantagem +1.61%
Kelly +2.10%
Crescimento +0.144%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.30%24.99%25.05%27.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.453.743.754.2528.99%26.73%26.67%23.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sara Bejlek (Visitante)

Previsão 74.86%1.34odd justa
EV -3.43%
Vantagem -2.66%
Kelly -11.82%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.94%75.01%74.95%77.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.211.271.271.2982.64%79.04%78.74%77.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alycia Parks (Local): 25.14%; Sara Bejlek (Visitante): 74.86%. Para Alycia Parks (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.98. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.83%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +6.83%E +1.61%K +2.10%G +0.144%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 15:36
Pinnacle🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 23.84%EV +2.81%E +0.687%K +0.909%G +0.026%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.16%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-15 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV +1.80%E +0.446%K +0.592%G +0.011%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 08:25
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +0.548%E +0.137%K +0.183%G +0.001%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 12:20
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.97%E -0.504%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 08:26
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.97%E -0.504%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 08:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -2.97%E -0.770%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 08:31
LowVig.ag🎯3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -2.97%E -0.770%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 08:30
Winamax (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.22%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 12:21
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.22%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 12:40
Bet Right🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 14:20
Coolbet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:25
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 15:29
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:26
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:26
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:26
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:25
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:26
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:25
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:25
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:26
Bally Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:26
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-15 08:30
SportsBet🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -4.98%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 08:30
1xBet🎯3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 14:05
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 15:11
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 08:25
BetAnything🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-15 08:31
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 13:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 13:10
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 08:14
GTbets🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.05%EV -5.99%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.95%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-14 11:11
Marathon Bet🎯3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -6.49%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 14:00
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 08:26
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 08:26
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 10:45
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 13:16
NetBet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -9.42%E -7.78%K -44.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-15 08:34
DraftKings🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.50%E -2.04%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.04%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 04:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 09:20
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 13:16
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 13:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 13:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 13:15
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 07:36
ReBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 08:30
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 15:25
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 08:29
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 08:29
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 10:46
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.92%E -6.44%K -34.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-15 08:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 23:40
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 11:10
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 11:11
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.28%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.28%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 10:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%0.1%2026-09-15 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%1.3%2026-09-15 13:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%1.3%2026-09-15 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%1.3%2026-09-15 13:45
Matchbook◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%1.3%2026-09-15 13:40
Novig◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.63%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.37%1.5%2026-09-15 15:26
ProphetX◎4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29%1.6%2026-09-15 15:45