默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alycia Parks v Sara Bejlek

开赛时间： 2026-09-15 16:00 UTC

最终结果： Alycia Parks 0–2 Sara Bejlek

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

25%

75%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alycia Parks (主队)

预测 25.14%3.98公平赔率

EV +6.83%

优势 +1.61%

Kelly +2.10%

增长率 +0.144%

假设最高赔率为 4.25

博彩公司预测分布

22.30%24.99%25.05%27.06%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.453.743.754.2528.99%26.73%26.67%23.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sara Bejlek (客队)

预测 74.86%1.34公平赔率

EV -3.43%

优势 -2.66%

Kelly -11.82%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.29

博彩公司预测分布

72.94%75.01%74.95%77.70%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.211.271.271.2982.64%79.04%78.74%77.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Alycia Parks (主队)：25.14%；Sara Bejlek (客队)：74.86%。对于“Alycia Parks (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.98。当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.25，对应+6.83%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Betway🎯	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +6.83%E +1.61%K +2.10%G +0.144%	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.40%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-09-15 15:36
Pinnacle🎯	4.09I 24.45%NM 23.84%EV +2.81%E +0.687%K +0.909%G +0.026%	1.28I 78.13%NM 76.16%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-09-15 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯	4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV +1.80%E +0.446%K +0.592%G +0.011%	1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-15 08:25
Winamax (DE)🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +0.548%E +0.137%K +0.183%G +0.001%	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-15 12:20
Bovada🎯	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.97%E -0.504%K -0.678%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-15 08:26
FanDuel🎯	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.97%E -0.504%K -0.678%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-09-15 08:30
BetOnline.ag🎯	3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -2.97%E -0.770%K -1.04%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-15 08:31
LowVig.ag🎯	3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -2.97%E -0.770%K -1.04%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-15 08:30
Winamax (FR)🎯	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.22%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 12:21
PlayUp🎯	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.22%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-15 12:40
Bet Right🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 14:20
Coolbet🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 08:25
Fanatics🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 15:29
BetRivers🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 08:26
Grosvenor🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 08:26
Unibet (NL)🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 08:25
Virgin Bet🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 08:25
LiveScore Bet🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 08:26
Unibet (SE)🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 08:25
Casumo🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 08:26
TABtouch🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 08:25
Unibet🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 08:25
betPARX🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 08:26
Bally Bet🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 08:26
ATG (SE)🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 08:25
Tipico (DE)🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.40%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-09-15 08:30
SportsBet🎯	3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -4.98%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-09-15 08:30
1xBet🎯	3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-15 14:05
BoyleSports🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-15 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-15 15:11
Hard Rock Bet🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-15 08:25
BetAnything🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-15 08:31
Betr (AU)🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-15 13:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-15 13:10
betfred_uk🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-15 08:14
GTbets🎯	3.74I 26.74%NM 25.05%EV -5.99%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.95%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-14 11:11
Marathon Bet🎯	3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -6.49%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-15 14:00
Betsson🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-15 08:26
NordicBet🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-15 08:26
BetMGM🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-14 10:45
LeoVegas🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-15 13:16
NetBet (FR)🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%	1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -9.42%E -7.78%K -44.84%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-09-15 08:34
DraftKings🎯	3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.50%E -2.04%K -2.80%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.04%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-15 04:20
Unibet (FR)🎯	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%	1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.87%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-15 09:20
888sport🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 13:16
William Hill🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 13:15
888sport (SE)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 13:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 13:15
theScore Bet🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-15 07:36
ReBet🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-15 08:30
TAB🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-15 15:25
Bet Victor🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-15 08:29
betano_uk🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-15 08:29
Coral🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-14 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-09-14 10:46
PMU (FR)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%	1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.92%E -6.44%K -34.43%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-09-15 08:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-14 23:40
Paddy Power🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-09-14 11:10
Sky Bet🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-09-14 11:11
Neds🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.28%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-14 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.28%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-14 10:45

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Smarkets◎	4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%	1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%	0.1%	2026-09-15 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%	1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%	1.3%	2026-09-15 13:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%	1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%	1.3%	2026-09-15 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%	1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%	1.3%	2026-09-15 13:45
Matchbook◎	4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%	1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%	1.3%	2026-09-15 13:40
Novig◎	4.17I 23.98%NM 23.63%	1.29I 77.52%NM 76.37%	1.5%	2026-09-15 15:26
ProphetX◎	4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71%	1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29%	1.6%	2026-09-15 15:45

Alycia Parks v Sara Bejlek

胜负盘

Alycia Parks (主队)

Sara Bejlek (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (7)

博彩交易所 (7)