Idioma:Español
Alycia Parks v Sara Bejlek
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alycia Parks (Local)
Predicción 25.14%3.98momio equitativo
EV +6.83%
Ventaja +1.61%
Kelly +2.10%
Crecimiento +0.144%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.30%24.99%25.05%27.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.453.743.754.2528.99%26.73%26.67%23.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sara Bejlek (Visitante)
Predicción 74.86%1.34momio equitativo
EV -3.43%
Ventaja -2.66%
Kelly -11.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.94%75.01%74.95%77.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.211.271.271.2982.64%79.04%78.74%77.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Alycia Parks (Local): 25.14%; Sara Bejlek (Visitante): 74.86%. Para Alycia Parks (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.98. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.83%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +6.83%E +1.61%K +2.10%G +0.144% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-15 15:36 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.84%EV +2.81%E +0.687%K +0.909%G +0.026% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.16%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-15 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV +1.80%E +0.446%K +0.592%G +0.011% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +0.548%E +0.137%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-15 12:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.97%E -0.504%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.97%E -0.504%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 08:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -2.97%E -0.770%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-15 08:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -2.97%E -0.770%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-15 08:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.22%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 12:21 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.22%E -0.837%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-15 12:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 15:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-15 08:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -4.98%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-15 08:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -5.23%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-15 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-15 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-15 15:11 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-15 08:31 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-15 13:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-15 13:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-15 08:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.05%EV -5.99%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.95%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-14 11:11 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -6.49%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 10:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-15 13:16 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.99%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -9.42%E -7.78%K -44.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-15 08:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.96%EV -7.50%E -2.04%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.04%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 04:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-15 09:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 13:16 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 13:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 13:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-15 13:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 07:36 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 08:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-15 15:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-15 08:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-15 08:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-14 10:46 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.92%E -6.44%K -34.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 11:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.02%E -3.43%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 11:11 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.28%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.28%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.18%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 10:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65% | 0.1% | 2026-09-15 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 1.3% | 2026-09-15 13:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 1.3% | 2026-09-15 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 1.3% | 2026-09-15 13:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 1.3% | 2026-09-15 13:40 |
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.63% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.37% | 1.5% | 2026-09-15 15:26 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.71% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.29% | 1.6% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |