A Escola das Odds

Magdalena Frech v Eva Lys

Início: 2026-06-16 09:13 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Magdalena Frech (Local)

Previsão 55.84%1.79odd justa
EV +3.31%
Vantagem +1.79%
Kelly +3.89%
Crescimento +0.129%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.70%56.34%55.70%61.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.491.681.701.8567.11%59.50%58.82%54.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Eva Lys (Visitante)

Previsão 44.16%2.26odd justa
EV +8.19%
Vantagem +3.34%
Kelly +5.65%
Crescimento +0.462%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.30%43.66%44.30%48.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.982.152.122.4550.51%46.47%47.17%40.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -14.00%E -9.09%K -25.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +8.19%E +3.34%K +5.65%G +0.462%5.8%2026-06-16 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -16.24%E -10.82%K -32.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +5.98%E +2.49%K +4.27%G +0.255%8.3%2026-06-16 09:11
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -16.80%E -11.27%K -34.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +5.98%E +2.49%K +4.27%G +0.255%8.8%2026-06-16 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.56%E +0.680%K +1.20%G +0.019%5.2%2026-06-16 09:11
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.56%E +0.680%K +1.20%G +0.019%5.2%2026-06-16 09:10
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.56%E +0.680%K +1.20%G +0.019%5.2%2026-06-16 09:10
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.56%E +0.680%K +1.20%G +0.019%5.2%2026-06-16 09:10
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV +0.680%E +0.298%K +0.531%G +0.004%6.0%2026-06-16 09:10
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV +0.680%E +0.298%K +0.531%G +0.004%6.4%2026-06-16 09:10
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 09:10
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 09:11
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 09:10
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 09:10
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 09:10
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -12.89%E -8.26%K -23.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.89%E -8.26%K -23.01%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -1.53%E -0.685%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-16 09:10
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.85%E -1.30%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 09:05
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.85%E -1.30%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 09:10
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.85%E -1.30%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.85%E -1.30%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 09:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.85%E -1.30%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 09:10
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.60%EV -14.00%E -9.09%K -25.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -3.74%E -1.71%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-16 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.06%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 08:59
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.06%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 08:59
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.06%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:00
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.06%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.50%E -2.57%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 09:10
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.50%E -2.57%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 09:10
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.50%E -2.57%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 09:10
ReBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.94%E -2.79%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 08:59
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.39%E -3.01%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.39%E -3.01%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.39%E -3.01%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.39%E -3.01%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -6.83%E -3.24%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 08:59
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV +1.07%E +0.594%K +1.33%G +0.014%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-16 09:10
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 09:04
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 09:04
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 09:08
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 08:59
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 09:10
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 09:06
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 09:08
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 09:10
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 09:10
PointsBet (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.19%E -3.68%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 09:10
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 09:10
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 09:10
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 09:10
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 09:00
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 08:59
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.15%E -3.92%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 09:08
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.19%E -3.68%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -9.03%E -4.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 09:10
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 09:08
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 09:10
Betr (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 09:05
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 09:01
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 09:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -6.19%E -3.68%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.92%E -4.86%K -9.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 09:10
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV +1.07%E +0.594%K +1.33%G +0.014%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -11.24%E -5.59%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 08:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.516%E +0.287%K +0.645%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.68%E -5.84%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 09:06
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.68%E -5.84%K -11.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-16 09:10
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +3.31%E +1.79%K +3.89%G +0.129%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -12.57%E -6.35%K -12.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 08:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-06-16 09:10
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-06-16 09:10
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-06-16 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-06-16 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%3.4%2026-06-16 09:11
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%5.7%2026-06-16 09:10