مدرسة الاحتمالات

Magdalena Frech v Eva Lys

البداية: 2026-06-16 09:13 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Magdalena Frech (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.84%1.79السعر العادل
EV +3.31%
الأفضلية +1.79%
Kelly +3.89%
النمو +0.129%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.70%56.34%55.70%61.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.491.681.701.8567.11%59.50%58.82%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Eva Lys (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.16%2.26السعر العادل
EV +8.19%
الأفضلية +3.34%
Kelly +5.65%
النمو +0.462%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.30%43.66%44.30%48.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.982.152.122.4550.51%46.47%47.17%40.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -14.00%E -9.09%K -25.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +8.19%E +3.34%K +5.65%G +0.462%5.8%2026-06-16 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -16.24%E -10.82%K -32.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +5.98%E +2.49%K +4.27%G +0.255%8.3%2026-06-16 09:11
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -16.80%E -11.27%K -34.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +5.98%E +2.49%K +4.27%G +0.255%8.8%2026-06-16 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.56%E +0.680%K +1.20%G +0.019%5.2%2026-06-16 09:11
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.56%E +0.680%K +1.20%G +0.019%5.2%2026-06-16 09:10
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.56%E +0.680%K +1.20%G +0.019%5.2%2026-06-16 09:10
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.56%E +0.680%K +1.20%G +0.019%5.2%2026-06-16 09:10
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV +0.680%E +0.298%K +0.531%G +0.004%6.0%2026-06-16 09:10
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV +0.680%E +0.298%K +0.531%G +0.004%6.4%2026-06-16 09:10
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 09:10
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 09:11
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 09:10
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 09:10
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 09:10
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -12.89%E -8.26%K -23.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.89%E -8.26%K -23.01%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -1.53%E -0.685%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-16 09:10
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.85%E -1.30%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 09:05
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.85%E -1.30%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 09:10
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.85%E -1.30%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.85%E -1.30%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 09:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.85%E -1.30%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 09:10
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.60%EV -14.00%E -9.09%K -25.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -3.74%E -1.71%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-16 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.06%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 08:59
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.06%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 08:59
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.06%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:00
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.06%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.50%E -2.57%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 09:10
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.50%E -2.57%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 09:10
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.50%E -2.57%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 09:10
ReBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.94%E -2.79%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 08:59
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.39%E -3.01%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.39%E -3.01%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.39%E -3.01%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.39%E -3.01%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -6.83%E -3.24%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 08:59
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV +1.07%E +0.594%K +1.33%G +0.014%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-16 09:10
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 09:04
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 09:04
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 09:08
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 08:59
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 09:10
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 09:06
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 09:08
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 09:10
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 09:10
PointsBet (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.19%E -3.68%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 09:10
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 09:10
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 09:10
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 09:10
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 09:00
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 08:59
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.15%E -3.92%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 09:08
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.19%E -3.68%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -9.03%E -4.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 09:10
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 09:08
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 09:10
Betr (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 09:05
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 09:01
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 09:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -6.19%E -3.68%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.92%E -4.86%K -9.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 09:10
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV +1.07%E +0.594%K +1.33%G +0.014%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -11.24%E -5.59%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 08:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.516%E +0.287%K +0.645%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.68%E -5.84%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 09:06
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.68%E -5.84%K -11.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-16 09:10
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +3.31%E +1.79%K +3.89%G +0.129%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -12.57%E -6.35%K -12.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 08:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-06-16 09:10
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-06-16 09:10
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-06-16 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-06-16 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%3.4%2026-06-16 09:11
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%5.7%2026-06-16 09:10