Szkoła Kursów

Magdalena Frech v Eva Lys

Początek: 2026-06-16 09:13 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Magdalena Frech (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 55.84%1.79kurs godziwy
EV +3.31%
Przewaga +1.79%
Kelly +3.89%
Wzrost +0.129%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.85

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
51.70%56.34%55.70%61.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.491.681.701.8567.11%59.50%58.82%54.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Eva Lys (Goście)

Prognoza 44.16%2.26kurs godziwy
EV +8.19%
Przewaga +3.34%
Kelly +5.65%
Wzrost +0.462%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.45

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.30%43.66%44.30%48.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.982.152.122.4550.51%46.47%47.17%40.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -14.00%E -9.09%K -25.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +8.19%E +3.34%K +5.65%G +0.462%5.8%2026-06-16 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -16.24%E -10.82%K -32.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +5.98%E +2.49%K +4.27%G +0.255%8.3%2026-06-16 09:11
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -16.80%E -11.27%K -34.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +5.98%E +2.49%K +4.27%G +0.255%8.8%2026-06-16 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.56%E +0.680%K +1.20%G +0.019%5.2%2026-06-16 09:11
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.56%E +0.680%K +1.20%G +0.019%5.2%2026-06-16 09:10
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.56%E +0.680%K +1.20%G +0.019%5.2%2026-06-16 09:10
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.56%E +0.680%K +1.20%G +0.019%5.2%2026-06-16 09:10
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV +0.680%E +0.298%K +0.531%G +0.004%6.0%2026-06-16 09:10
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV +0.680%E +0.298%K +0.531%G +0.004%6.4%2026-06-16 09:10
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 09:10
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 09:11
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 09:10
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 09:10
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 09:10
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -12.89%E -8.26%K -23.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.89%E -8.26%K -23.01%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -1.53%E -0.685%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-16 09:10
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.85%E -1.30%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 09:05
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.85%E -1.30%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 09:10
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.85%E -1.30%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.85%E -1.30%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 09:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.85%E -1.30%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 09:10
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.60%EV -14.00%E -9.09%K -25.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -3.74%E -1.71%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-16 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.06%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 08:59
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.06%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 08:59
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.06%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:00
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.06%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.50%E -2.57%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 09:10
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.50%E -2.57%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 09:10
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.50%E -2.57%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 09:10
ReBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.94%E -2.79%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 08:59
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.39%E -3.01%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.39%E -3.01%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.39%E -3.01%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.39%E -3.01%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:10
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -6.83%E -3.24%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 08:59
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV +1.07%E +0.594%K +1.33%G +0.014%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-16 09:10
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 09:04
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 09:04
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 09:08
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 08:59
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 09:10
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 09:06
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 09:08
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 09:10
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 09:10
PointsBet (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.19%E -3.68%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 09:10
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 09:10
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 09:10
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 09:10
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 09:00
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 08:59
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.15%E -3.92%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 09:08
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.19%E -3.68%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -9.03%E -4.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 09:10
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 09:08
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 09:10
Betr (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 09:05
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 09:01
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 09:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 09:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -6.19%E -3.68%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.92%E -4.86%K -9.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 09:10
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV +1.07%E +0.594%K +1.33%G +0.014%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -11.24%E -5.59%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 08:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.516%E +0.287%K +0.645%G +0.003%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.68%E -5.84%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 09:06
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.68%E -5.84%K -11.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-16 09:10
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +3.31%E +1.79%K +3.89%G +0.129%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -12.57%E -6.35%K -12.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 08:59
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-06-16 09:10
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-06-16 09:10
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-06-16 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-06-16 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%3.4%2026-06-16 09:11
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%5.7%2026-06-16 09:10