La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Magdalena Frech v Eva Lys
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Magdalena Frech (Local)
Predicción 55.84%1.79momio equitativo
EV +3.31%
Ventaja +1.79%
Kelly +3.89%
Crecimiento +0.129%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.70%56.34%55.70%61.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.491.681.701.8567.11%59.50%58.82%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Eva Lys (Visitante)
Predicción 44.16%2.26momio equitativo
EV +8.19%
Ventaja +3.34%
Kelly +5.65%
Crecimiento +0.462%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.30%43.66%44.30%48.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.982.152.122.4550.51%46.47%47.17%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -14.00%E -9.09%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV +8.19%E +3.34%K +5.65%G +0.462% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -16.24%E -10.82%K -32.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +5.98%E +2.49%K +4.27%G +0.255% | 8.3% | 2026-06-16 09:11 |
| Fliff | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -16.80%E -11.27%K -34.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +5.98%E +2.49%K +4.27%G +0.255% | 8.8% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.56%E +0.680%K +1.20%G +0.019% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 09:11 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.56%E +0.680%K +1.20%G +0.019% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.56%E +0.680%K +1.20%G +0.019% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +1.56%E +0.680%K +1.20%G +0.019% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -10.09%E -6.27%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV +0.680%E +0.298%K +0.531%G +0.004% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV +0.680%E +0.298%K +0.531%G +0.004% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 09:11 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.65%E -6.66%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -12.89%E -8.26%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -0.645%E -0.287%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -12.89%E -8.26%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -1.53%E -0.685%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.85%E -1.30%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 09:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.85%E -1.30%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.85%E -1.30%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.85%E -1.30%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.54%E -5.89%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.85%E -1.30%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.60%EV -14.00%E -9.09%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.40%EV -3.74%E -1.71%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.06%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-16 08:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.06%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 08:59 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.06%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.06%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.50%E -2.57%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.50%E -2.57%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.50%E -2.57%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| ReBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.94%E -2.79%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 08:59 |
| Casumo | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.39%E -3.01%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.39%E -3.01%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.39%E -3.01%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.39%E -3.01%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -6.83%E -3.24%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 08:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV +1.07%E +0.594%K +1.33%G +0.014% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 09:04 |
| betfred_uk | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.39%E -1.96%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 09:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 09:08 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 08:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.95%E -2.30%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 09:06 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.51%E -2.64%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 09:08 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.19%E -3.68%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 09:00 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.86%E -4.76%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 08:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.15%E -3.92%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 09:08 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -6.19%E -3.68%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -9.03%E -4.39%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 09:08 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.28%E -1.30%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.83%E -1.63%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 09:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 09:01 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 09:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.48%E -4.62%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 09:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -6.19%E -3.68%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -9.92%E -4.86%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| GTbets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV +1.07%E +0.594%K +1.33%G +0.014% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -11.24%E -5.59%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 08:59 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.516%E +0.287%K +0.645%G +0.003% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.68%E -5.84%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 09:06 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.68%E -5.84%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +3.31%E +1.79%K +3.89%G +0.129% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -12.57%E -6.35%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 08:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.8% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07% | 3.4% | 2026-06-16 09:11 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 09:10 |