Language:English
Jessica Pegula v Katerina Siniakova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Prediction 60.65%1.65fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.702%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.98%60.63%65.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.551.561.6371.43%64.58%64.31%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Katerina Siniakova (Visit)
Prediction 39.35%2.54fair odd
EV +6.25%
Edge +2.32%
Kelly +3.68%
Growth +0.230%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.15%39.02%39.37%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.402.7044.44%41.27%41.67%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Pegula (Local): 60.65%; Katerina Siniakova (Visit): 39.35%. For Katerina Siniakova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -15.09%E -10.78%K -37.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV +6.25%E +2.32%K +3.68%G +0.230% | 8.5% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.24%E -6.92%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +2.32%E +0.891%K +1.45%G +0.034% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 10:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -0.437%E -0.173%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-17 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -0.437%E -0.173%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-17 10:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-17 11:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 11:21 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 11:21 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 11:21 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 11:21 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 11:21 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -2.41%E -0.970%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -2.41%E -0.970%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-17 11:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 11:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 11:21 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -10.24%E -6.92%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -1.15%E -0.702%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -4.37%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.37%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-17 11:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.37%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 11:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.77%E -1.97%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 11:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.57%E -2.25%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-17 11:21 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 11:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 11:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 11:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 11:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-17 11:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-17 11:21 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.73%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 11:18 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.73%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.73%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-17 11:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-17 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-17 11:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-17 11:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.49%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.49%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-17 11:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.85%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.15%EV -11.06%E -4.90%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 11:21 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-17 11:21 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-06-17 11:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-06-17 11:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 2.0% | 2026-06-17 11:21 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35% | 4.1% | 2026-06-17 11:20 |