Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula v Katerina Siniakova

Início: 2026-06-17 11:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Previsão 60.65%1.65odd justa
EV -1.15%
Vantagem -0.702%
Kelly -1.82%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.14%60.98%60.63%65.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.551.561.6371.43%64.58%64.31%61.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Katerina Siniakova (Visitante)

Previsão 39.35%2.54odd justa
EV +6.25%
Vantagem +2.32%
Kelly +3.68%
Crescimento +0.230%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.15%39.02%39.37%41.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.422.402.7044.44%41.27%41.67%37.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jessica Pegula (Local): 60.65%; Katerina Siniakova (Visitante): 39.35%. Para Katerina Siniakova (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.54. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.25%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -15.09%E -10.78%K -37.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV +6.25%E +2.32%K +3.68%G +0.230%8.5%2026-06-17 10:40
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.24%E -6.92%K -21.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +2.32%E +0.891%K +1.45%G +0.034%6.0%2026-06-17 10:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -0.437%E -0.173%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-17 10:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -0.437%E -0.173%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-17 10:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 11:19
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:21
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:21
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:21
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:21
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -2.41%E -0.970%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 11:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -2.41%E -0.970%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 11:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 11:19
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:19
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:21
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -10.24%E -6.92%K -21.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 11:20
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -1.15%E -0.702%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -4.37%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-17 11:20
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.37%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 11:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.37%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:19
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.77%E -1.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 11:19
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.57%E -2.25%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 11:21
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 11:18
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 11:20
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 11:20
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:19
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:19
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:19
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 11:20
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 11:10
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 11:21
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.73%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 11:18
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.73%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.73%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 11:20
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 11:20
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 11:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:20
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:20
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 11:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-17 11:19
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.49%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.49%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 11:18
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.85%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.15%EV -11.06%E -4.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 11:20
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:21
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 11:21
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-06-17 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-06-17 11:20
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-06-17 11:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-06-17 11:21
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-06-17 11:21
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%4.1%2026-06-17 11:20