Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Jessica Pegula v Katerina Siniakova

Początek: 2026-06-17 11:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

60 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Jessica Pegula (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 60.65%1.65kurs godziwy
EV -1.15%
Przewaga -0.702%
Kelly -1.82%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.63

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.14%60.98%60.63%65.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.401.551.561.6371.43%64.58%64.31%61.35%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Katerina Siniakova (Goście)

Prognoza 39.35%2.54kurs godziwy
EV +6.25%
Przewaga +2.32%
Kelly +3.68%
Wzrost +0.230%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.15%39.02%39.37%41.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.422.402.7044.44%41.27%41.67%37.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Jessica Pegula (Gospodarze): 60.65%; Katerina Siniakova (Goście): 39.35%. Dla wyniku Katerina Siniakova (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.54. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.70, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +6.25%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -15.09%E -10.78%K -37.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV +6.25%E +2.32%K +3.68%G +0.230%8.5%2026-06-17 10:40
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.24%E -6.92%K -21.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +2.32%E +0.891%K +1.45%G +0.034%6.0%2026-06-17 10:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -0.437%E -0.173%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-17 10:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -0.437%E -0.173%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-17 10:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 11:19
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:21
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:21
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:21
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:21
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -2.41%E -0.970%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 11:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -2.41%E -0.970%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 11:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 11:19
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:19
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:21
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -10.24%E -6.92%K -21.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 11:20
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -1.15%E -0.702%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -4.37%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-17 11:20
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.37%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 11:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.37%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:19
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.77%E -1.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 11:19
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.57%E -2.25%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 11:21
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 11:18
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 11:20
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 11:20
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:19
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:19
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:19
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 11:20
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 11:10
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 11:21
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.73%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 11:18
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.73%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.73%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 11:20
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 11:20
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 11:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:20
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:20
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 11:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-17 11:19
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.49%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.49%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 11:18
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.85%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.15%EV -11.06%E -4.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 11:20
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:21
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 11:21
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-06-17 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-06-17 11:20
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-06-17 11:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-06-17 11:21
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-06-17 11:21
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%4.1%2026-06-17 11:20