La escuela de los momios

Jessica Pegula v Katerina Siniakova

Inicio: 2026-06-17 11:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Predicción 60.65%1.65momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.702%
Kelly -1.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%60.98%60.63%65.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.551.561.6371.43%64.58%64.31%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Katerina Siniakova (Visitante)

Predicción 39.35%2.54momio equitativo
EV +6.25%
Ventaja +2.32%
Kelly +3.68%
Crecimiento +0.230%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.15%39.02%39.37%41.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.422.402.7044.44%41.27%41.67%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -15.09%E -10.78%K -37.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV +6.25%E +2.32%K +3.68%G +0.230%8.5%2026-06-17 10:40
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.24%E -6.92%K -21.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +2.32%E +0.891%K +1.45%G +0.034%6.0%2026-06-17 10:40
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -0.437%E -0.173%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-17 10:50
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -0.437%E -0.173%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-17 10:50
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 11:19
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:21
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:21
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:21
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:21
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:21
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.42%E -5.58%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.62%E -0.647%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -2.41%E -0.970%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 11:20
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -2.41%E -0.970%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 11:20
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 11:19
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:19
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:21
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -10.24%E -6.92%K -21.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -3.59%E -1.46%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 11:20
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -1.15%E -0.702%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -4.37%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-17 11:20
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -4.37%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 11:19
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.37%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:19
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.77%E -1.97%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 11:19
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.57%E -2.25%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 11:21
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 11:18
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 11:20
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 11:20
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:19
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:19
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:20
Betr (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.46%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:20
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:19
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 11:20
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:19
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 11:20
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 11:10
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 11:21
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.73%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 11:18
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.73%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.73%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-17 11:20
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 11:20
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 11:19
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:20
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:20
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 11:10
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-17 11:19
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.49%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.00%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.49%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 11:18
SportsBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.85%EV -4.18%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.15%EV -11.06%E -4.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 11:20
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.75%E -1.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:21
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.46%E -5.09%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-17 11:21
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-06-17 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-06-17 11:20
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-06-17 11:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-06-17 11:21
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-06-17 11:21
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%4.1%2026-06-17 11:20