Szkoła Kursów

Elise Mertens v Liudmila Samsonova

Początek: 2026-06-15 18:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

67 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Elise Mertens (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 94.70%1.06kurs godziwy
EV +48.68%
Przewaga +31.00%
Kelly +85.40%
Wzrost +41.57%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.57

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.87%90.77%94.79%99.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.001.171.021.57100.00%85.34%98.04%63.69%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Liudmila Samsonova (Goście)

Prognoza 5.30%18.86kurs godziwy
EV +435.47%
Przewaga +4.31%
Kelly +4.35%
Wzrost +18.96%

przy maksymalnym kursie 101.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
0.98%9.23%5.21%43.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.0718.4012.00101.0048.31%5.43%8.33%0.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (67 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.87%EV +48.68%E +31.00%K +85.40%G +41.57%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.13%EV -89.03%E -43.01%K -83.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-15 17:30
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV +46.78%E +30.18%K +85.06%G +39.79%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -86.32%E -33.46%K -54.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-15 15:30
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV +46.78%E +30.18%K +85.06%G +39.79%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -86.32%E -33.46%K -54.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-15 15:30
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +45.84%E +29.76%K +84.88%G +38.91%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -86.48%E -33.91%K -55.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 15:31
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +45.84%E +29.76%K +84.88%G +38.91%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -86.48%E -33.91%K -55.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 15:29
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV +44.89%E +29.34%K +84.70%G +38.02%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -86.69%E -34.54%K -57.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 15:30
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +44.89%E +29.34%K +84.70%G +38.02%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -86.75%E -34.70%K -57.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 15:30
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +44.89%E +29.34%K +84.70%G +38.02%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -86.75%E -34.70%K -57.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 15:30
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV +43.94%E +28.91%K +84.50%G +37.13%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -86.48%E -33.91%K -55.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 15:30
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV +43.94%E +28.91%K +84.50%G +37.13%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -86.48%E -33.91%K -55.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 15:31
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV +43.94%E +28.91%K +84.50%G +37.13%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -86.64%E -34.38%K -57.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 16:04
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +43.94%E +28.91%K +84.50%G +37.13%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -86.75%E -34.70%K -57.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 15:30
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV +42.99%E +28.47%K +84.30%G +36.25%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -86.22%E -33.16%K -53.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 15:30
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV +42.99%E +28.47%K +84.30%G +36.25%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -86.75%E -34.70%K -57.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 15:30
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +42.05%E +28.03%K +84.09%G +35.36%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -86.22%E -33.16%K -53.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 15:30
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV +42.05%E +28.03%K +84.09%G +35.36%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -87.01%E -35.51%K -60.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 16:08
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV +42.05%E +28.03%K +84.09%G +35.36%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -87.01%E -35.51%K -60.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 15:50
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV +42.05%E +28.03%K +84.09%G +35.36%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -87.01%E -35.51%K -60.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 15:50
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV +42.05%E +28.03%K +84.09%G +35.36%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -87.28%E -36.36%K -62.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 15:30
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV +40.15%E +27.13%K +83.65%G +33.59%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -87.01%E -35.51%K -60.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 16:00
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 65.45%EV +34.47%E +24.28%K +82.08%G +28.29%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.55%EV -85.74%E -31.87%K -50.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 15:30
Fliff1.06I 94.34%NM 86.51%EV +0.380%E +0.359%K +6.34%G +0.024%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -63.95%E -9.40%K -11.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-15 17:37
Coolbet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.44%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000%12.60I 7.94%NM 7.56%EV -33.20%E -2.63%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 17:39
Unibet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 17:40
Casumo1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 17:40
Svenska Spel1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 17:40
ATG (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 17:40
betPARX1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 17:39
TABtouch1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -44.33%E -4.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-15 17:40
Grosvenor1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -44.33%E -4.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-15 17:40
BetRivers1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -44.33%E -4.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-15 17:40
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -48.31%E -4.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-15 17:40
Pinnacle1.02I 98.04%NM 97.29%EV -3.41%E -3.34%K -170.39%G +0.000%36.58I 2.73%NM 2.71%EV +93.94%E +2.57%K +2.64%G +2.48%0.8%2026-06-15 17:51
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -3.41%E -3.34%K -170.39%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 17:43
Caesars1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -3.41%E -3.34%K -170.39%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 17:48
LiveScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -3.41%E -3.34%K -170.39%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 17:43
Bet Victor1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.41%E -3.34%K -170.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -41.68%E -3.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 17:47
LeoVegas1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -3.41%E -3.34%K -170.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -46.98%E -4.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 17:40
FanDuel1.01I 99.01%NM 98.23%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.77%EV +196.90%E +3.52%K +3.58%G +7.05%0.8%2026-06-15 17:50
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +80.26%E +2.36%K +2.43%G +1.95%2.0%2026-06-15 17:55
Winamax (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.74%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.26%EV +59.05%E +1.97%K +2.04%G +1.20%2.3%2026-06-15 17:49
Unibet (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +21.94%E +0.954%K +0.997%G +0.219%3.4%2026-06-15 17:49
Betway1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +6.03%E +0.302%K +0.318%G +0.019%4.0%2026-06-15 17:54
Unibet (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -4.57%E -0.254%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 17:44
888sport1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -9.87%E -0.581%K -0.617%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 17:49
Hard Rock Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -9.87%E -0.581%K -0.617%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 17:47
TAB1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -20.47%E -1.36%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 17:40
theScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -20.47%E -1.36%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 17:49
Mr Green (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -20.47%E -1.36%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 17:49
888sport (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -20.47%E -1.36%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 17:49
Betsson1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -31.08%E -2.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 17:49
Bally Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -31.08%E -2.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 17:41
Tipico (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -41.68%E -3.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-15 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -46.98%E -4.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-15 17:40
Sky Bet1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +435.47%E +4.31%K +4.35%G +18.96%1.0%2026-06-15 17:50
Fanatics1.00I 100.00%NM 98.78%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%81.00I 1.23%NM 1.22%EV +329.44%E +4.07%K +4.12%G +13.57%1.2%2026-06-15 17:54
Coral1.00I 100.00%NM 98.61%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%71.00I 1.41%NM 1.39%EV +276.42%E +3.89%K +3.95%G +10.92%1.4%2026-06-15 17:55
Paddy Power1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +255.22%E +3.81%K +3.87%G +9.87%1.5%2026-06-15 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.00I 100.00%NM 98.25%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.75%EV +196.90%E +3.52%K +3.58%G +7.05%1.8%2026-06-15 17:55
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +170.39%E +3.34%K +3.41%G +5.81%2.0%2026-06-15 17:55
Betclic (FR)1.00I 100.00%NM 98.04%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.96%EV +165.09%E +3.30%K +3.37%G +5.56%2.0%2026-06-15 17:54
DraftKings1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +117.37%E +2.86%K +2.93%G +3.44%2.4%2026-06-15 17:54
BoyleSports1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +80.26%E +2.36%K +2.43%G +1.95%2.9%2026-06-15 17:54
Winamax (FR)1.00I 100.00%NM 96.77%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.23%EV +59.05%E +1.97%K +2.04%G +1.20%3.3%2026-06-15 17:49
Bovada1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +53.75%E +1.85%K +1.92%G +1.03%3.4%2026-06-15 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +11.34%E +0.540%K +0.567%G +0.064%4.8%2026-06-15 17:49
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87%0.2%2026-06-15 17:41
Matchbook1.02I 98.04%NM 97.24%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.76%0.8%2026-06-15 17:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-06-15 17:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-06-15 17:50
Smarkets1.00I 100.00%NM 98.21%54.95I 1.82%NM 1.79%1.8%2026-06-15 17:50
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 93.46%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.54%7.0%2026-06-15 17:56