La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Elise Mertens v Liudmila Samsonova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Elise Mertens (Local)
Predicción 94.70%1.06momio equitativo
EV +48.68%
Ventaja +31.00%
Kelly +85.40%
Crecimiento +41.57%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.87%90.77%94.79%99.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.001.171.021.57100.00%85.34%98.04%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante)
Predicción 5.30%18.86momio equitativo
EV +435.47%
Ventaja +4.31%
Kelly +4.35%
Crecimiento +18.96%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 101.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
0.98%9.23%5.21%43.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.0718.4012.00101.0048.31%5.43%8.33%0.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (67 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PMU (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.87%EV +48.68%E +31.00%K +85.40%G +41.57% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.13%EV -89.03%E -43.01%K -83.20%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-15 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV +46.78%E +30.18%K +85.06%G +39.79% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -86.32%E -33.46%K -54.63%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-15 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV +46.78%E +30.18%K +85.06%G +39.79% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -86.32%E -33.46%K -54.63%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-15 15:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +45.84%E +29.76%K +84.88%G +38.91% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -86.48%E -33.91%K -55.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-15 15:31 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +45.84%E +29.76%K +84.88%G +38.91% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -86.48%E -33.91%K -55.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-15 15:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV +44.89%E +29.34%K +84.70%G +38.02% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -86.69%E -34.54%K -57.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 15:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +44.89%E +29.34%K +84.70%G +38.02% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -86.75%E -34.70%K -57.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 15:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +44.89%E +29.34%K +84.70%G +38.02% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -86.75%E -34.70%K -57.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV +43.94%E +28.91%K +84.50%G +37.13% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -86.48%E -33.91%K -55.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 15:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV +43.94%E +28.91%K +84.50%G +37.13% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -86.48%E -33.91%K -55.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 15:31 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV +43.94%E +28.91%K +84.50%G +37.13% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -86.64%E -34.38%K -57.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-15 16:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +43.94%E +28.91%K +84.50%G +37.13% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -86.75%E -34.70%K -57.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 15:30 |
| ReBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV +42.99%E +28.47%K +84.30%G +36.25% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -86.22%E -33.16%K -53.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-15 15:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV +42.99%E +28.47%K +84.30%G +36.25% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -86.75%E -34.70%K -57.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-15 15:30 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +42.05%E +28.03%K +84.09%G +35.36% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -86.22%E -33.16%K -53.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV +42.05%E +28.03%K +84.09%G +35.36% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -87.01%E -35.51%K -60.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 16:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV +42.05%E +28.03%K +84.09%G +35.36% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -87.01%E -35.51%K -60.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 15:50 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV +42.05%E +28.03%K +84.09%G +35.36% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -87.01%E -35.51%K -60.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 15:50 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV +42.05%E +28.03%K +84.09%G +35.36% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -87.28%E -36.36%K -62.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-15 15:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV +40.15%E +27.13%K +83.65%G +33.59% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -87.01%E -35.51%K -60.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 16:00 |
| GTbets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.45%EV +34.47%E +24.28%K +82.08%G +28.29% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.55%EV -85.74%E -31.87%K -50.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 15:30 |
| Fliff | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.51%EV +0.380%E +0.359%K +6.34%G +0.024% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -63.95%E -9.40%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-15 17:37 |
| Coolbet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.44%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000% | 12.60I 7.94%NM 7.56%EV -33.20%E -2.63%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 17:39 |
| Unibet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 17:40 |
| Casumo | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 17:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 17:40 |
| betPARX | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-15 17:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -44.33%E -4.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-15 17:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -44.33%E -4.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-15 17:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -44.33%E -4.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-15 17:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -48.31%E -4.95%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-15 17:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.29%EV -3.41%E -3.34%K -170.39%G +0.000% | 36.58I 2.73%NM 2.71%EV +93.94%E +2.57%K +2.64%G +2.48% | 0.8% | 2026-06-15 17:51 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -3.41%E -3.34%K -170.39%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 17:43 |
| Caesars | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -3.41%E -3.34%K -170.39%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 17:48 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -3.41%E -3.34%K -170.39%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 17:43 |
| Bet Victor | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.41%E -3.34%K -170.39%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -41.68%E -3.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-15 17:47 |
| LeoVegas | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -3.41%E -3.34%K -170.39%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -46.98%E -4.70%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-15 17:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.23%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000% | 56.00I 1.79%NM 1.77%EV +196.90%E +3.52%K +3.58%G +7.05% | 0.8% | 2026-06-15 17:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +80.26%E +2.36%K +2.43%G +1.95% | 2.0% | 2026-06-15 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.74%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.26%EV +59.05%E +1.97%K +2.04%G +1.20% | 2.3% | 2026-06-15 17:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +21.94%E +0.954%K +0.997%G +0.219% | 3.4% | 2026-06-15 17:49 |
| Betway | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +6.03%E +0.302%K +0.318%G +0.019% | 4.0% | 2026-06-15 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -4.57%E -0.254%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 17:44 |
| 888sport | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -9.87%E -0.581%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-15 17:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -9.87%E -0.581%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-15 17:47 |
| TAB | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -20.47%E -1.36%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 17:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -20.47%E -1.36%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -20.47%E -1.36%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 17:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -20.47%E -1.36%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 17:49 |
| Betsson | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -31.08%E -2.39%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-15 17:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -31.08%E -2.39%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-15 17:41 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -41.68%E -3.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-15 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -46.98%E -4.70%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-15 17:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +435.47%E +4.31%K +4.35%G +18.96% | 1.0% | 2026-06-15 17:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.78%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 81.00I 1.23%NM 1.22%EV +329.44%E +4.07%K +4.12%G +13.57% | 1.2% | 2026-06-15 17:54 |
| Coral | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.61%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 71.00I 1.41%NM 1.39%EV +276.42%E +3.89%K +3.95%G +10.92% | 1.4% | 2026-06-15 17:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +255.22%E +3.81%K +3.87%G +9.87% | 1.5% | 2026-06-15 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.25%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 56.00I 1.79%NM 1.75%EV +196.90%E +3.52%K +3.58%G +7.05% | 1.8% | 2026-06-15 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +170.39%E +3.34%K +3.41%G +5.81% | 2.0% | 2026-06-15 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.04%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.96%EV +165.09%E +3.30%K +3.37%G +5.56% | 2.0% | 2026-06-15 17:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +117.37%E +2.86%K +2.93%G +3.44% | 2.4% | 2026-06-15 17:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +80.26%E +2.36%K +2.43%G +1.95% | 2.9% | 2026-06-15 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.77%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.23%EV +59.05%E +1.97%K +2.04%G +1.20% | 3.3% | 2026-06-15 17:49 |
| Bovada | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +53.75%E +1.85%K +1.92%G +1.03% | 3.4% | 2026-06-15 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +11.34%E +0.540%K +0.567%G +0.064% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 17:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87% | 0.2% | 2026-06-15 17:41 |
| Matchbook | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.24% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.76% | 0.8% | 2026-06-15 17:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-06-15 17:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81% | 0.9% | 2026-06-15 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.21% | 54.95I 1.82%NM 1.79% | 1.8% | 2026-06-15 17:50 |
| Novig | 1.00I 100.00%NM 93.46% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.54% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 17:56 |