مدرسة الاحتمالات

Elise Mertens v Liudmila Samsonova

البداية: 2026-06-15 18:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

67 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Elise Mertens (المضيف)

التنبؤ 94.70%1.06السعر العادل
EV +48.68%
الأفضلية +31.00%
Kelly +85.40%
النمو +41.57%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.87%90.77%94.79%99.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.001.171.021.57100.00%85.34%98.04%63.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Liudmila Samsonova (الضيف)

التنبؤ 5.30%18.86السعر العادل
EV +435.47%
الأفضلية +4.31%
Kelly +4.35%
النمو +18.96%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 101.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
0.98%9.23%5.21%43.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.0718.4012.00101.0048.31%5.43%8.33%0.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (67 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.87%EV +48.68%E +31.00%K +85.40%G +41.57%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.13%EV -89.03%E -43.01%K -83.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-15 17:30
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV +46.78%E +30.18%K +85.06%G +39.79%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -86.32%E -33.46%K -54.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-15 15:30
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV +46.78%E +30.18%K +85.06%G +39.79%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -86.32%E -33.46%K -54.63%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-15 15:30
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +45.84%E +29.76%K +84.88%G +38.91%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -86.48%E -33.91%K -55.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 15:31
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +45.84%E +29.76%K +84.88%G +38.91%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -86.48%E -33.91%K -55.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 15:29
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV +44.89%E +29.34%K +84.70%G +38.02%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -86.69%E -34.54%K -57.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-15 15:30
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +44.89%E +29.34%K +84.70%G +38.02%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -86.75%E -34.70%K -57.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 15:30
Dabble (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +44.89%E +29.34%K +84.70%G +38.02%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -86.75%E -34.70%K -57.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 15:30
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV +43.94%E +28.91%K +84.50%G +37.13%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -86.48%E -33.91%K -55.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 15:30
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV +43.94%E +28.91%K +84.50%G +37.13%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -86.48%E -33.91%K -55.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 15:31
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV +43.94%E +28.91%K +84.50%G +37.13%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -86.64%E -34.38%K -57.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 16:04
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +43.94%E +28.91%K +84.50%G +37.13%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -86.75%E -34.70%K -57.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 15:30
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV +42.99%E +28.47%K +84.30%G +36.25%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -86.22%E -33.16%K -53.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-15 15:30
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV +42.99%E +28.47%K +84.30%G +36.25%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -86.75%E -34.70%K -57.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 15:30
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +42.05%E +28.03%K +84.09%G +35.36%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -86.22%E -33.16%K -53.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 15:30
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV +42.05%E +28.03%K +84.09%G +35.36%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -87.01%E -35.51%K -60.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 16:08
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV +42.05%E +28.03%K +84.09%G +35.36%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -87.01%E -35.51%K -60.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 15:50
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV +42.05%E +28.03%K +84.09%G +35.36%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -87.01%E -35.51%K -60.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 15:50
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV +42.05%E +28.03%K +84.09%G +35.36%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -87.28%E -36.36%K -62.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 15:30
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV +40.15%E +27.13%K +83.65%G +33.59%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -87.01%E -35.51%K -60.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 16:00
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 65.45%EV +34.47%E +24.28%K +82.08%G +28.29%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.55%EV -85.74%E -31.87%K -50.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 15:30
Fliff1.06I 94.34%NM 86.51%EV +0.380%E +0.359%K +6.34%G +0.024%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -63.95%E -9.40%K -11.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-15 17:37
Coolbet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.44%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000%12.60I 7.94%NM 7.56%EV -33.20%E -2.63%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 17:39
Unibet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 17:40
Casumo1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 17:40
Svenska Spel1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 17:40
ATG (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 17:40
betPARX1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 17:39
TABtouch1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -44.33%E -4.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-15 17:40
Grosvenor1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -44.33%E -4.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-15 17:40
BetRivers1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -44.33%E -4.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-15 17:40
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -2.46%E -2.39%K -82.03%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV -48.31%E -4.95%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-15 17:40
Pinnacle1.02I 98.04%NM 97.29%EV -3.41%E -3.34%K -170.39%G +0.000%36.58I 2.73%NM 2.71%EV +93.94%E +2.57%K +2.64%G +2.48%0.8%2026-06-15 17:51
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -3.41%E -3.34%K -170.39%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 17:43
Caesars1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -3.41%E -3.34%K -170.39%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 17:48
LiveScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -3.41%E -3.34%K -170.39%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -36.38%E -3.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 17:43
Bet Victor1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.41%E -3.34%K -170.39%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -41.68%E -3.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 17:47
LeoVegas1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -3.41%E -3.34%K -170.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -46.98%E -4.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 17:40
FanDuel1.01I 99.01%NM 98.23%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.77%EV +196.90%E +3.52%K +3.58%G +7.05%0.8%2026-06-15 17:50
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +80.26%E +2.36%K +2.43%G +1.95%2.0%2026-06-15 17:55
Winamax (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.74%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.26%EV +59.05%E +1.97%K +2.04%G +1.20%2.3%2026-06-15 17:49
Unibet (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +21.94%E +0.954%K +0.997%G +0.219%3.4%2026-06-15 17:49
Betway1.01I 99.01%NM 95.19%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.81%EV +6.03%E +0.302%K +0.318%G +0.019%4.0%2026-06-15 17:54
Unibet (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -4.57%E -0.254%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 17:44
888sport1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -9.87%E -0.581%K -0.617%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 17:49
Hard Rock Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -9.87%E -0.581%K -0.617%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 17:47
TAB1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -20.47%E -1.36%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 17:40
theScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -20.47%E -1.36%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 17:49
Mr Green (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -20.47%E -1.36%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 17:49
888sport (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -20.47%E -1.36%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-15 17:49
Betsson1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -31.08%E -2.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 17:49
Bally Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -31.08%E -2.39%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 17:41
Tipico (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -41.68%E -3.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-15 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.35%E -4.31%K -435.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -46.98%E -4.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-15 17:40
Sky Bet1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +435.47%E +4.31%K +4.35%G +18.96%1.0%2026-06-15 17:50
Fanatics1.00I 100.00%NM 98.78%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%81.00I 1.23%NM 1.22%EV +329.44%E +4.07%K +4.12%G +13.57%1.2%2026-06-15 17:54
Coral1.00I 100.00%NM 98.61%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%71.00I 1.41%NM 1.39%EV +276.42%E +3.89%K +3.95%G +10.92%1.4%2026-06-15 17:55
Paddy Power1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +255.22%E +3.81%K +3.87%G +9.87%1.5%2026-06-15 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.00I 100.00%NM 98.25%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.75%EV +196.90%E +3.52%K +3.58%G +7.05%1.8%2026-06-15 17:55
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +170.39%E +3.34%K +3.41%G +5.81%2.0%2026-06-15 17:55
Betclic (FR)1.00I 100.00%NM 98.04%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.96%EV +165.09%E +3.30%K +3.37%G +5.56%2.0%2026-06-15 17:54
DraftKings1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +117.37%E +2.86%K +2.93%G +3.44%2.4%2026-06-15 17:54
BoyleSports1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +80.26%E +2.36%K +2.43%G +1.95%2.9%2026-06-15 17:54
Winamax (FR)1.00I 100.00%NM 96.77%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.23%EV +59.05%E +1.97%K +2.04%G +1.20%3.3%2026-06-15 17:49
Bovada1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +53.75%E +1.85%K +1.92%G +1.03%3.4%2026-06-15 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.30%E -5.30%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +11.34%E +0.540%K +0.567%G +0.064%4.8%2026-06-15 17:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 94.13%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.87%0.2%2026-06-15 17:41
Matchbook1.02I 98.04%NM 97.24%36.00I 2.78%NM 2.76%0.8%2026-06-15 17:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-06-15 17:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-06-15 17:50
Smarkets1.00I 100.00%NM 98.21%54.95I 1.82%NM 1.79%1.8%2026-06-15 17:50
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 93.46%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.54%7.0%2026-06-15 17:56