Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.23
assuming max odds 5.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sorana Cirstea (Local): 79.33%; Xiyu Wang (Visit): 20.67%. For Xiyu Wang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.84. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.36%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.36%E +0.672%K +0.840%G +0.028% | 5.5% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +0.260%E +0.054%K +0.068%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -0.774%E -0.161%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.774%E -0.161%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -0.774%E -0.161%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.53%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.47%EV -1.19%E -0.248%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -1.81%E -0.380%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.81%E -0.380%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 08:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.80%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.20%EV -2.01%E -0.425%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.83%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.17%EV -2.63%E -0.559%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 08:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.84%E -0.604%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.84%E -0.604%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -4.70%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -4.70%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 08:58 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 08:58 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 08:58 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 08:58 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 08:58 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 08:58 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 08:58 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 08:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 08:58 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 08:58 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 08:58 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-31 08:58 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-31 08:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-31 09:01 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-31 09:01 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -5.94%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -5.94%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 08:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-31 09:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-31 08:57 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 08:58 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 08:58 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 08:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 08:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 09:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -8.77%E -7.63%K -58.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -8.01%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-31 09:01 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-31 09:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.49%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.51%EV -9.46%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.49%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.51%EV -9.46%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 09:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.84%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.16%EV -10.70%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 08:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.14%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-31 09:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -17.31%E -4.33%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-31 08:58 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56% | 0.3% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-05-31 09:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 0.9% | 2026-05-31 09:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.87% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.13% | 1.8% | 2026-05-31 09:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48% | 2.6% | 2026-05-31 09:01 |