La escuela de los momios

Sorana Cirstea v Xiyu Wang

Inicio: 2026-05-31 09:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sorana Cirstea (Local)

Predicción 79.33%1.26momio equitativo
EV -2.43%
Ventaja -1.97%
Kelly -10.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.92%79.30%79.38%81.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.201.201.2386.96%83.39%83.33%81.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Xiyu Wang (Visitante)

Predicción 20.67%4.84momio equitativo
EV +3.36%
Ventaja +0.672%
Kelly +0.840%
Crecimiento +0.028%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.96%20.70%20.62%23.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.554.575.0025.00%21.96%21.86%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.36%E +0.672%K +0.840%G +0.028%5.5%2026-05-31 09:00
FanDuel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +0.260%E +0.054%K +0.068%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 09:00
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -0.774%E -0.161%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 09:00
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.774%E -0.161%K -0.204%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:00
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -0.774%E -0.161%K -0.204%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 09:00
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 79.53%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.47%EV -1.19%E -0.248%K -0.314%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-31 09:00
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -1.81%E -0.380%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-31 09:00
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.81%E -0.380%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:59
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 79.80%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.20%EV -2.01%E -0.425%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 09:00
GTbets1.19I 84.03%NM 79.83%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.17%EV -2.63%E -0.559%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 08:59
Codere (IT)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.84%E -0.604%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 09:00
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.84%E -0.604%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 09:00
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -4.70%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 09:00
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -4.70%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 09:00
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
Casumo1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
Unibet (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:59
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 08:58
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 08:59
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 09:01
BetAnything1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 09:00
NetBet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 09:00
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 09:01
MyBookie.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -5.94%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 09:00
Marathon Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -5.94%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 09:00
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 08:59
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:00
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 08:57
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:00
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:00
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:00
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 08:58
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 08:58
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 08:58
BetMGM1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 08:59
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 09:01
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 09:00
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -8.77%E -7.63%K -58.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 09:00
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -8.01%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 09:00
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 09:00
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 09:00
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 09:01
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 09:01
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.49%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.51%EV -9.46%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 09:00
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 78.49%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.51%EV -9.46%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 09:01
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.84%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.16%EV -10.70%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:59
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.14%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 09:01
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 09:00
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -17.31%E -4.33%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 08:58
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-05-31 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-31 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-31 09:01
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-31 09:00
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.87%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.13%1.8%2026-05-31 09:01
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%2.6%2026-05-31 09:01