Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sorana Cirstea v Xiyu Wang

Início: 2026-05-31 09:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sorana Cirstea (Local)

Previsão 79.33%1.26odd justa
EV -2.43%
Vantagem -1.97%
Kelly -10.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.92%79.30%79.38%81.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.151.201.201.2386.96%83.39%83.33%81.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Xiyu Wang (Visitante)

Previsão 20.67%4.84odd justa
EV +3.36%
Vantagem +0.672%
Kelly +0.840%
Crescimento +0.028%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.96%20.70%20.62%23.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.554.575.0025.00%21.96%21.86%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sorana Cirstea (Local): 79.33%; Xiyu Wang (Visitante): 20.67%. Para Xiyu Wang (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.84. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.36%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.36%E +0.672%K +0.840%G +0.028%5.5%2026-05-31 09:00
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +0.260%E +0.054%K +0.068%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 09:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -0.774%E -0.161%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 09:00
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.774%E -0.161%K -0.204%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:00
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -0.774%E -0.161%K -0.204%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 09:00
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.53%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.47%EV -1.19%E -0.248%K -0.314%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-31 09:00
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -1.81%E -0.380%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-31 09:00
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.81%E -0.380%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:59
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.80%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.20%EV -2.01%E -0.425%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 09:00
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.83%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.17%EV -2.63%E -0.559%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 08:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.84%E -0.604%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 09:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.84%E -0.604%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 09:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -4.70%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 09:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -4.70%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 09:00
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
Unibet (NL)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
Casumo🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
Grosvenor🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
Unibet (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
LeoVegas🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
betPARX🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 08:58
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 08:59
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 09:01
BetAnything🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 09:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 09:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 09:01
MyBookie.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -5.94%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 09:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -5.94%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 09:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 08:59
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:00
Everygame🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 08:57
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:00
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 08:58
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 08:58
Virgin Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 08:58
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 08:59
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 09:01
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 09:00
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -8.77%E -7.63%K -58.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 09:00
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -8.01%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 09:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 09:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 09:00
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 09:01
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 09:01
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.49%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.51%EV -9.46%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 09:00
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.49%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.51%EV -9.46%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 09:01
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.84%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.16%EV -10.70%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:59
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.14%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 09:01
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 09:00
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -17.31%E -4.33%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 08:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-05-31 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-31 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-31 09:01
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-31 09:00
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.87%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.13%1.8%2026-05-31 09:01
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%2.6%2026-05-31 09:01