Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sorana Cirstea v Xiyu Wang

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-31 09:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sorana Cirstea (Local)

Prévision 79.33%1.26cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -1.97%
Kelly -10.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.92%79.30%79.38%81.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.151.201.201.2386.96%83.39%83.33%81.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Xiyu Wang (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.67%4.84cote équitable
EV +3.36%
Avantage +0.672%
Kelly +0.840%
Croissance +0.028%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.96%20.70%20.62%23.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.554.575.0025.00%21.96%21.86%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sorana Cirstea (Local) : 79.33% ; Xiyu Wang (Visiteur) : 20.67%. Pour Xiyu Wang (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.84. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.00, soit une espérance positive de +3.36%.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +3.36%E +0.672%K +0.840%G +0.028%5.5%2026-05-31 09:00
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +0.260%E +0.054%K +0.068%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 09:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -0.774%E -0.161%K -0.204%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 09:00
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.774%E -0.161%K -0.204%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:00
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -0.774%E -0.161%K -0.204%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 09:00
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.53%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.47%EV -1.19%E -0.248%K -0.314%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-31 09:00
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -1.81%E -0.380%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-31 09:00
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.81%E -0.380%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:59
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.80%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.20%EV -2.01%E -0.425%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 09:00
GTbets🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.83%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.17%EV -2.63%E -0.559%K -0.710%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 08:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.84%E -0.604%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 09:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -2.84%E -0.604%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 09:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -4.70%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 09:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.21%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.79%EV -4.70%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 09:00
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
Unibet (NL)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
Casumo🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
Grosvenor🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
Unibet (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
LeoVegas🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
betPARX🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:58
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 08:58
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 08:59
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 09:01
BetAnything🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 09:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 09:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.91%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 09:01
MyBookie.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -5.94%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 09:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -5.94%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 09:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.01%E -3.32%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 08:59
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:00
Everygame🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 08:57
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:00
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 08:58
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 08:58
Virgin Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 08:58
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 08:59
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.39%E -5.42%K -35.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 09:01
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.19%E -6.14%K -42.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 09:00
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -8.77%E -7.63%K -58.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -6.98%E -1.55%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 09:00
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -8.01%E -1.80%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 09:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 09:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 09:00
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 09:01
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -9.04%E -2.06%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 09:01
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.49%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.51%EV -9.46%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 09:00
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.49%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.51%EV -9.46%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 09:01
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.84%EV -2.43%E -1.97%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.16%EV -10.70%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 08:59
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.22%E -2.64%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.14%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 09:01
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -5.60%E -4.71%K -29.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -13.18%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 09:00
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.81%E -4.01%K -24.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -17.31%E -4.33%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 08:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.56%0.3%2026-05-31 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-31 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-31 09:01
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-05-31 09:00
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.87%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.13%1.8%2026-05-31 09:01
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%2.6%2026-05-31 09:01