Language:English
Simona Waltert v Katerina Siniakova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Simona Waltert (Local)
Prediction 38.84%2.57fair odd
EV +12.62%
Edge +4.35%
Kelly +6.64%
Growth +0.839%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.71%38.30%39.26%43.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.502.402.9045.45%40.01%41.67%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Katerina Siniakova (Visit)
Prediction 61.16%1.63fair odd
EV +3.37%
Edge +1.99%
Kelly +4.88%
Growth +0.164%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.56%61.70%60.74%67.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.521.541.6970.92%65.82%65.15%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Simona Waltert (Local): 38.84%; Katerina Siniakova (Visit): 61.16%. For Simona Waltert (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV +12.62%E +4.35%K +6.64%G +0.839% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -13.76%E -9.76%K -33.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 16:06 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV +12.62%E +4.35%K +6.64%G +0.839% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -13.76%E -9.76%K -33.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 16:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV +12.62%E +4.35%K +6.64%G +0.839% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -13.76%E -9.76%K -33.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 16:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV +12.24%E +4.23%K +6.47%G +0.792% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -13.15%E -9.26%K -31.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 16:07 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV +10.68%E +3.75%K +5.77%G +0.617% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -10.09%E -6.86%K -21.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-26 16:17 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +10.68%E +3.75%K +5.77%G +0.617% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -11.31%E -7.80%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +10.68%E +3.75%K +5.77%G +0.617% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -12.54%E -8.77%K -29.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 16:12 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +8.74%E +3.12%K +4.86%G +0.424% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -11.31%E -7.80%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 16:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +8.74%E +3.12%K +4.86%G +0.424% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -13.15%E -9.26%K -31.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 16:12 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV +7.96%E +2.86%K +4.47%G +0.356% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -11.92%E -8.28%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 16:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +7.58%E +2.73%K +4.28%G +0.324% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -10.70%E -7.33%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 16:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV +7.58%E +2.73%K +4.28%G +0.324% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -12.54%E -8.77%K -29.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 16:07 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +6.80%E +2.47%K +3.89%G +0.264% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -9.48%E -6.40%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +6.80%E +2.47%K +3.89%G +0.264% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -9.48%E -6.40%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 16:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +6.80%E +2.47%K +3.89%G +0.264% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -11.92%E -8.28%K -27.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 16:12 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV +5.63%E +2.07%K +3.28%G +0.185% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -10.70%E -7.33%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 16:11 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +4.86%E +1.80%K +2.86%G +0.139% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -9.48%E -6.40%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 16:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +4.86%E +1.80%K +2.86%G +0.139% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -10.70%E -7.33%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +4.86%E +1.80%K +2.86%G +0.139% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -10.70%E -7.33%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 16:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +4.86%E +1.80%K +2.86%G +0.139% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -11.31%E -7.80%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 16:06 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.14%E +0.813%K +1.31%G +0.028% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.48%E -6.40%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.91%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.25%E -5.50%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 16:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -2.91%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -10.70%E -7.33%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-26 16:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.63%E -2.32%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.20%E -3.35%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.14%E -1.34%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 16:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.25%E -5.50%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-26 16:18 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -7.18%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.57%E -3.18%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 16:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.96%E -3.36%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.96%E -3.36%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 16:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.74%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.74%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.74%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.74%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -10.29%E -4.45%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.00%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -10.29%E -4.45%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.00%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +0.921%E +0.558%K +1.42%G +0.013% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 16:16 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.14%E -1.34%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 16:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 16:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -7.64%E -5.06%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -12.62%E -5.61%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -0.914%E -0.564%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.62%E -5.61%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.14%E -1.34%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -12.62%E -5.61%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -14.56%E -6.62%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +3.37%E +1.99%K +4.88%G +0.164% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.56%E -6.62%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +0.921%E +0.558%K +1.42%G +0.013% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -14.56%E -6.62%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -0.914%E -0.564%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -14.56%E -6.62%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -8.25%E -5.50%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 0.3% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 1.0% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02% | 2.1% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 16:20 |