La scuola delle quote

Simona Waltert v Katerina Siniakova

Inizio: 2026-05-26 17:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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58 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Simona Waltert (Casa)

Previsione 38.84%2.57quota equa
EV +12.62%
Vantaggio +4.35%
Kelly +6.64%
Crescita +0.839%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.71%38.30%39.26%43.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.502.402.9045.45%40.01%41.67%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Katerina Siniakova (Trasferta)

Previsione 61.16%1.63quota equa
EV +3.37%
Vantaggio +1.99%
Kelly +4.88%
Crescita +0.164%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.56%61.70%60.74%67.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.411.521.541.6970.92%65.82%65.15%59.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV +12.62%E +4.35%K +6.64%G +0.839%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -13.76%E -9.76%K -33.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 16:06
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV +12.62%E +4.35%K +6.64%G +0.839%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -13.76%E -9.76%K -33.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 16:14
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV +12.62%E +4.35%K +6.64%G +0.839%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -13.76%E -9.76%K -33.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 16:14
GTbets2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV +12.24%E +4.23%K +6.47%G +0.792%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -13.15%E -9.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 16:07
Pinnacle2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV +10.68%E +3.75%K +5.77%G +0.617%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -10.09%E -6.86%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-26 16:17
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +10.68%E +3.75%K +5.77%G +0.617%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -11.31%E -7.80%K -25.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 16:10
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +10.68%E +3.75%K +5.77%G +0.617%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -12.54%E -8.77%K -29.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 16:12
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +8.74%E +3.12%K +4.86%G +0.424%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -11.31%E -7.80%K -25.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 16:14
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +8.74%E +3.12%K +4.86%G +0.424%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -13.15%E -9.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 16:12
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV +7.96%E +2.86%K +4.47%G +0.356%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -11.92%E -8.28%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 16:14
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +7.58%E +2.73%K +4.28%G +0.324%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -10.70%E -7.33%K -23.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 16:14
NetBet (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV +7.58%E +2.73%K +4.28%G +0.324%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -12.54%E -8.77%K -29.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 16:07
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +6.80%E +2.47%K +3.89%G +0.264%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -9.48%E -6.40%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 16:15
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +6.80%E +2.47%K +3.89%G +0.264%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -9.48%E -6.40%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 16:15
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +6.80%E +2.47%K +3.89%G +0.264%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -11.92%E -8.28%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 16:12
SportsBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV +5.63%E +2.07%K +3.28%G +0.185%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -10.70%E -7.33%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 16:11
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +4.86%E +1.80%K +2.86%G +0.139%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -9.48%E -6.40%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 16:15
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +4.86%E +1.80%K +2.86%G +0.139%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -10.70%E -7.33%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +4.86%E +1.80%K +2.86%G +0.139%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -10.70%E -7.33%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 16:10
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +4.86%E +1.80%K +2.86%G +0.139%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -11.31%E -7.80%K -25.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 16:06
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.14%E +0.813%K +1.31%G +0.028%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.48%E -6.40%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 16:19
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.91%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.25%E -5.50%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 16:19
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -2.91%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -10.70%E -7.33%K -23.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-26 16:19
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.63%E -2.32%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.20%E -3.35%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 16:20
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.14%E -1.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 16:20
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 16:20
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 16:20
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 16:19
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 16:20
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 16:20
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 16:20
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 16:20
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.25%E -5.50%K -16.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 16:18
DraftKings2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -7.18%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 16:20
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.57%E -3.18%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 16:19
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.96%E -3.36%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.96%E -3.36%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 16:19
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.74%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 16:20
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.74%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 16:20
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.74%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 16:20
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.74%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 16:20
NordicBet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -10.29%E -4.45%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.00%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 16:20
Betsson2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -10.29%E -4.45%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.00%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 16:20
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +0.921%E +0.558%K +1.42%G +0.013%4.1%2026-05-26 16:16
MyBookie.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.14%E -1.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 16:19
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 16:20
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 16:18
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 16:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 16:20
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 16:20
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -7.64%E -5.06%K -14.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-26 16:20
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -12.62%E -5.61%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -0.914%E -0.564%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 16:20
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.62%E -5.61%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.14%E -1.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 16:20
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -12.62%E -5.61%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-26 16:20
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -14.56%E -6.62%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +3.37%E +1.99%K +4.88%G +0.164%4.6%2026-05-26 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.56%E -6.62%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +0.921%E +0.558%K +1.42%G +0.013%6.1%2026-05-26 16:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -14.56%E -6.62%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -0.914%E -0.564%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 16:20
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -14.56%E -6.62%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -8.25%E -5.50%K -16.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-26 16:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-05-26 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-26 16:20
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-05-26 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.1%2026-05-26 16:20
Novig2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%5.9%2026-05-26 16:20