La escuela de los momios

Simona Waltert v Katerina Siniakova

Inicio: 2026-05-26 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Simona Waltert (Local)

Predicción 38.84%2.57momio equitativo
EV +12.62%
Ventaja +4.35%
Kelly +6.64%
Crecimiento +0.839%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.71%38.30%39.26%43.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.502.402.9045.45%40.01%41.67%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Katerina Siniakova (Visitante)

Predicción 61.16%1.63momio equitativo
EV +3.37%
Ventaja +1.99%
Kelly +4.88%
Crecimiento +0.164%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.56%61.70%60.74%67.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.411.521.541.6970.92%65.82%65.15%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV +12.62%E +4.35%K +6.64%G +0.839%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -13.76%E -9.76%K -33.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 16:06
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV +12.62%E +4.35%K +6.64%G +0.839%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -13.76%E -9.76%K -33.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 16:14
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV +12.62%E +4.35%K +6.64%G +0.839%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -13.76%E -9.76%K -33.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 16:14
GTbets2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV +12.24%E +4.23%K +6.47%G +0.792%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -13.15%E -9.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 16:07
Pinnacle2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV +10.68%E +3.75%K +5.77%G +0.617%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -10.09%E -6.86%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-26 16:17
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +10.68%E +3.75%K +5.77%G +0.617%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -11.31%E -7.80%K -25.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 16:10
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +10.68%E +3.75%K +5.77%G +0.617%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -12.54%E -8.77%K -29.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 16:12
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +8.74%E +3.12%K +4.86%G +0.424%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -11.31%E -7.80%K -25.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 16:14
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +8.74%E +3.12%K +4.86%G +0.424%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -13.15%E -9.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 16:12
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV +7.96%E +2.86%K +4.47%G +0.356%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -11.92%E -8.28%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 16:14
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +7.58%E +2.73%K +4.28%G +0.324%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -10.70%E -7.33%K -23.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 16:14
NetBet (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV +7.58%E +2.73%K +4.28%G +0.324%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -12.54%E -8.77%K -29.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 16:07
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +6.80%E +2.47%K +3.89%G +0.264%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -9.48%E -6.40%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 16:15
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +6.80%E +2.47%K +3.89%G +0.264%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -9.48%E -6.40%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 16:15
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +6.80%E +2.47%K +3.89%G +0.264%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -11.92%E -8.28%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 16:12
SportsBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV +5.63%E +2.07%K +3.28%G +0.185%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -10.70%E -7.33%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 16:11
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +4.86%E +1.80%K +2.86%G +0.139%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -9.48%E -6.40%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 16:15
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +4.86%E +1.80%K +2.86%G +0.139%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -10.70%E -7.33%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +4.86%E +1.80%K +2.86%G +0.139%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -10.70%E -7.33%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 16:10
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +4.86%E +1.80%K +2.86%G +0.139%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -11.31%E -7.80%K -25.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 16:06
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.14%E +0.813%K +1.31%G +0.028%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.48%E -6.40%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 16:19
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.91%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.25%E -5.50%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 16:19
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -2.91%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -10.70%E -7.33%K -23.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-26 16:19
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.63%E -2.32%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.20%E -3.35%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 16:20
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.14%E -1.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 16:20
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 16:20
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 16:20
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 16:19
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 16:20
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 16:20
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 16:20
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 16:20
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.25%E -5.50%K -16.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 16:18
DraftKings2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -7.18%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 16:20
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.57%E -3.18%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 16:19
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.96%E -3.36%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.96%E -3.36%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 16:19
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.74%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 16:20
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.74%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 16:20
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.74%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 16:20
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.74%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 16:20
NordicBet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -10.29%E -4.45%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.00%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 16:20
Betsson2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -10.29%E -4.45%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.00%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 16:20
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +0.921%E +0.558%K +1.42%G +0.013%4.1%2026-05-26 16:16
MyBookie.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.14%E -1.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 16:19
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 16:20
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 16:18
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 16:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 16:20
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 16:20
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -7.64%E -5.06%K -14.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-26 16:20
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -12.62%E -5.61%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -0.914%E -0.564%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 16:20
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.62%E -5.61%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.14%E -1.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 16:20
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -12.62%E -5.61%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-26 16:20
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -14.56%E -6.62%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +3.37%E +1.99%K +4.88%G +0.164%4.6%2026-05-26 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.56%E -6.62%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +0.921%E +0.558%K +1.42%G +0.013%6.1%2026-05-26 16:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -14.56%E -6.62%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -0.914%E -0.564%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 16:20
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -14.56%E -6.62%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -8.25%E -5.50%K -16.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-26 16:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-05-26 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-26 16:20
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-05-26 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.1%2026-05-26 16:20
Novig2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%5.9%2026-05-26 16:20