L’École des cotes

Simona Waltert v Katerina Siniakova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Simona Waltert (Local)

Prévision 38.84%2.57cote équitable
EV +12.62%
Avantage +4.35%
Kelly +6.64%
Croissance +0.839%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.71%38.30%39.26%43.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.502.402.9045.45%40.01%41.67%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Katerina Siniakova (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.16%1.63cote équitable
EV +3.37%
Avantage +1.99%
Kelly +4.88%
Croissance +0.164%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.56%61.70%60.74%67.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.411.521.541.6970.92%65.82%65.15%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetRivers2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV +12.62%E +4.35%K +6.64%G +0.839%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -13.76%E -9.76%K -33.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 16:06
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV +12.62%E +4.35%K +6.64%G +0.839%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -13.76%E -9.76%K -33.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 16:14
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV +12.62%E +4.35%K +6.64%G +0.839%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -13.76%E -9.76%K -33.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 16:14
GTbets2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV +12.24%E +4.23%K +6.47%G +0.792%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -13.15%E -9.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 16:07
Pinnacle2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV +10.68%E +3.75%K +5.77%G +0.617%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -10.09%E -6.86%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-26 16:17
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV +10.68%E +3.75%K +5.77%G +0.617%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -11.31%E -7.80%K -25.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 16:10
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +10.68%E +3.75%K +5.77%G +0.617%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -12.54%E -8.77%K -29.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 16:12
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +8.74%E +3.12%K +4.86%G +0.424%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -11.31%E -7.80%K -25.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 16:14
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +8.74%E +3.12%K +4.86%G +0.424%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -13.15%E -9.26%K -31.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 16:12
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV +7.96%E +2.86%K +4.47%G +0.356%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -11.92%E -8.28%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 16:14
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +7.58%E +2.73%K +4.28%G +0.324%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -10.70%E -7.33%K -23.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 16:14
NetBet (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV +7.58%E +2.73%K +4.28%G +0.324%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -12.54%E -8.77%K -29.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 16:07
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +6.80%E +2.47%K +3.89%G +0.264%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -9.48%E -6.40%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 16:15
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +6.80%E +2.47%K +3.89%G +0.264%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -9.48%E -6.40%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 16:15
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +6.80%E +2.47%K +3.89%G +0.264%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -11.92%E -8.28%K -27.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 16:12
SportsBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV +5.63%E +2.07%K +3.28%G +0.185%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -10.70%E -7.33%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 16:11
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +4.86%E +1.80%K +2.86%G +0.139%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -9.48%E -6.40%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 16:15
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +4.86%E +1.80%K +2.86%G +0.139%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -10.70%E -7.33%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +4.86%E +1.80%K +2.86%G +0.139%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -10.70%E -7.33%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 16:10
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +4.86%E +1.80%K +2.86%G +0.139%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -11.31%E -7.80%K -25.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 16:06
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV +2.14%E +0.813%K +1.31%G +0.028%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -9.48%E -6.40%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 16:19
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.91%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.25%E -5.50%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 16:19
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -2.91%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.13%EV -10.70%E -7.33%K -23.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-26 16:19
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -5.63%E -2.32%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -5.20%E -3.35%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 16:20
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.14%E -1.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 16:20
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 16:20
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 16:20
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 16:19
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 16:20
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 16:20
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 16:20
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 16:20
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.79%E -2.83%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.25%E -5.50%K -16.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 16:18
DraftKings2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -7.18%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 16:20
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.57%E -3.18%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 16:19
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.96%E -3.36%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.96%E -3.36%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.42%E -4.20%K -12.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 16:19
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.74%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 16:20
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.74%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 16:20
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.74%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 16:20
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.74%E -3.72%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 16:20
NordicBet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -10.29%E -4.45%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.00%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 16:20
Betsson2.31I 43.29%NM 40.00%EV -10.29%E -4.45%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.00%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 16:20
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +0.921%E +0.558%K +1.42%G +0.013%4.1%2026-05-26 16:16
MyBookie.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.14%E -1.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 16:19
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 16:20
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 16:18
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 16:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 16:20
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 16:20
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.68%E -4.64%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -7.64%E -5.06%K -14.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-26 16:20
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -12.62%E -5.61%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -0.914%E -0.564%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 16:20
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.62%E -5.61%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.14%E -1.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 16:20
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -12.62%E -5.61%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -5.81%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-26 16:20
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -14.56%E -6.62%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +3.37%E +1.99%K +4.88%G +0.164%4.6%2026-05-26 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.56%E -6.62%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +0.921%E +0.558%K +1.42%G +0.013%6.1%2026-05-26 16:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -14.56%E -6.62%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -0.914%E -0.564%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 16:20
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -14.56%E -6.62%K -12.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -8.25%E -5.50%K -16.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-26 16:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%0.3%2026-05-26 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-26 16:20
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%1.0%2026-05-26 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.1%2026-05-26 16:20
Novig2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%5.9%2026-05-26 16:20