Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.91
assuming max odds 2.22
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Petra Marcinko (Local): 53.82%; Eva Lys (Visit): 46.18%. For Petra Marcinko (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.80%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.80%E +1.47%K +3.08%G +0.086% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.80%E -6.18%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.648%E +0.347%K +0.745%G +0.005% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.65%E -7.30%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.428%E -0.231%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.57%E -4.33%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 11:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.428%E -0.231%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.26%E -6.45%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.428%E -0.231%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.57%E -7.88%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.50%E -0.822%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.95%E -5.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.80%E -2.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.80%E -2.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.80%E -2.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -11.34%E -5.91%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -12.26%E -6.45%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -12.26%E -6.45%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.66%E -2.04%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.66%E -2.04%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.66%E -2.04%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.66%E -2.04%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.66%E -2.04%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:36 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.20%E -2.36%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.57%E -4.33%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 11:26 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.57%E -4.33%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -9.03%E -4.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 11:36 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -9.03%E -4.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 11:36 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -5.27%E -3.00%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -5.27%E -3.00%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 11:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.81%E -3.32%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.719%E -0.334%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 11:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 11:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 11:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -10.42%E -5.37%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV +2.51%E +1.13%K +2.06%G +0.052% | 2.8% | 2026-05-25 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.18%E -0.552%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -4.41%E -2.13%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 11:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 11:03 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -1.64%E -0.771%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 11:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.10%E -0.992%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 11:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -1.64%E -0.771%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -4.87%E -2.37%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.50%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.719%E -0.334%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 11:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.50%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 11:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.91%EV -8.50%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.80%E -6.18%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-25 11:36 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -9.58%E -5.70%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -5.80%E -2.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -9.58%E -5.70%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 11:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.12%E -6.06%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.12%E -6.06%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.12%E -6.06%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -10.12%E -6.06%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 2.1% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |