La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Petra Marcinko v Eva Lys
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Petra Marcinko (Local)
Predicción 53.82%1.86momio equitativo
EV +2.80%
Ventaja +1.47%
Kelly +3.08%
Crecimiento +0.086%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%53.45%54.09%56.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.751.741.9159.88%57.01%57.47%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Eva Lys (Visitante)
Predicción 46.18%2.17momio equitativo
EV +2.51%
Ventaja +1.13%
Kelly +2.06%
Crecimiento +0.052%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.80%46.55%45.91%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.042.042.2254.05%49.10%49.02%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.80%E +1.47%K +3.08%G +0.086% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.80%E -6.18%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.648%E +0.347%K +0.745%G +0.005% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.65%E -7.30%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.428%E -0.231%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.57%E -4.33%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 11:38 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.428%E -0.231%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.26%E -6.45%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.428%E -0.231%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.57%E -7.88%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.50%E -0.822%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.95%E -5.10%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.80%E -2.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.80%E -2.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.80%E -2.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -11.34%E -5.91%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -12.26%E -6.45%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -12.26%E -6.45%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Unibet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.66%E -2.04%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.66%E -2.04%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.66%E -2.04%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:35 |
| betPARX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.66%E -2.04%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.66%E -2.04%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:36 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.20%E -2.36%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.57%E -4.33%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 11:26 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.57%E -4.33%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -9.03%E -4.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 11:36 |
| Bally Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -9.03%E -4.58%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 11:36 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -5.27%E -3.00%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -5.27%E -3.00%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 11:39 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.81%E -3.32%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.719%E -0.334%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 11:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 11:29 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 11:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -10.42%E -5.37%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV +2.51%E +1.13%K +2.06%G +0.052% | 2.8% | 2026-05-25 11:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.18%E -0.552%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -4.41%E -2.13%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 11:29 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 11:03 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -1.64%E -0.771%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 11:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.10%E -0.992%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Neds | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 11:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -1.64%E -0.771%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -4.87%E -2.37%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.50%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.719%E -0.334%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 11:39 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.50%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 11:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.91%EV -8.50%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.80%E -6.18%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-25 11:36 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -9.58%E -5.70%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -5.80%E -2.84%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -9.58%E -5.70%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 11:39 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.12%E -6.06%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.12%E -6.06%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.12%E -6.06%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Fliff | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -10.12%E -6.06%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 2.1% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |
| Novig | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 11:40 |