L’École des cotes

Petra Marcinko v Eva Lys

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 11:44 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Petra Marcinko (Local)

Prévision 53.82%1.86cote équitable
EV +2.80%
Avantage +1.47%
Kelly +3.08%
Croissance +0.086%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%53.45%54.09%56.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.751.741.9159.88%57.01%57.47%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Eva Lys (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.18%2.17cote équitable
EV +2.51%
Avantage +1.13%
Kelly +2.06%
Croissance +0.052%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.80%46.55%45.91%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.042.042.2254.05%49.10%49.02%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.80%E +1.47%K +3.08%G +0.086%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.80%E -6.18%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 11:40
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.648%E +0.347%K +0.745%G +0.005%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.65%E -7.30%K -15.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 11:40
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.428%E -0.231%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.57%E -4.33%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 11:38
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.428%E -0.231%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.26%E -6.45%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 11:40
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.428%E -0.231%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.57%E -7.88%K -17.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 11:40
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.50%E -0.822%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.95%E -5.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 11:40
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.80%E -2.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 11:10
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.80%E -2.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 11:10
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.80%E -2.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 11:10
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 11:40
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -11.34%E -5.91%K -12.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 11:40
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -12.26%E -6.45%K -13.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 11:40
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -12.26%E -6.45%K -13.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 11:40
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.66%E -2.04%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:35
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.66%E -2.04%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:35
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.66%E -2.04%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:35
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.66%E -2.04%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:35
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.66%E -2.04%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:36
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.20%E -2.36%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.57%E -4.33%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 11:40
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 11:00
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 11:26
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.57%E -4.33%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 11:40
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -9.03%E -4.58%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 11:36
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -9.03%E -4.58%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 11:36
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -5.27%E -3.00%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 11:40
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -5.27%E -3.00%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 11:39
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.81%E -3.32%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 11:40
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.719%E -0.334%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 11:10
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 11:39
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 11:40
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 11:29
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 11:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -10.42%E -5.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 11:40
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV +2.51%E +1.13%K +2.06%G +0.052%2.8%2026-05-25 11:30
FanDuel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.18%E -0.552%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 11:40
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:09
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -4.41%E -2.13%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 11:10
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 11:29
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 11:40
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 11:03
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 11:40
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 11:40
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -1.64%E -0.771%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 11:09
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.10%E -0.992%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 11:40
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 11:10
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 11:39
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -1.64%E -0.771%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:29
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 11:40
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -4.87%E -2.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 11:40
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.50%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.719%E -0.334%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 11:39
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.50%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 11:30
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.91%EV -8.50%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.80%E -6.18%K -12.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-25 11:36
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -9.58%E -5.70%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -5.80%E -2.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 11:40
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -9.58%E -5.70%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 11:39
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.12%E -6.06%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.12%E -6.06%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 11:40
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.12%E -6.06%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 11:40
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -10.12%E -6.06%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-25 11:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-25 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-25 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-25 11:40
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-05-25 11:40
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-05-25 11:40
Novig1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%5.1%2026-05-25 11:40