مدرسة الاحتمالات

Petra Marcinko v Eva Lys

البداية: 2026-05-25 11:44 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Petra Marcinko (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.82%1.86السعر العادل
EV +2.80%
الأفضلية +1.47%
Kelly +3.08%
النمو +0.086%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.91

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.00%53.45%54.09%56.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.751.741.9159.88%57.01%57.47%52.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Eva Lys (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.18%2.17السعر العادل
EV +2.51%
الأفضلية +1.13%
Kelly +2.06%
النمو +0.052%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.22

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.80%46.55%45.91%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.852.042.042.2254.05%49.10%49.02%45.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.80%E +1.47%K +3.08%G +0.086%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.80%E -6.18%K -12.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 11:40
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.648%E +0.347%K +0.745%G +0.005%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.65%E -7.30%K -15.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 11:40
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.428%E -0.231%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.57%E -4.33%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 11:38
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -0.428%E -0.231%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -12.26%E -6.45%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 11:40
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -0.428%E -0.231%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -14.57%E -7.88%K -17.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-25 11:40
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.50%E -0.822%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -9.95%E -5.10%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 11:40
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.80%E -2.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 11:10
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.80%E -2.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 11:10
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.80%E -2.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 11:10
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 11:40
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -11.34%E -5.91%K -12.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 11:40
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -12.26%E -6.45%K -13.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 11:40
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -3.12%E -1.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -12.26%E -6.45%K -13.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 11:40
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.66%E -2.04%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:35
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.66%E -2.04%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:35
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.66%E -2.04%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:35
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.66%E -2.04%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:35
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.66%E -2.04%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:36
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.20%E -2.36%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.57%E -4.33%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 11:40
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 11:00
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 11:26
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.57%E -4.33%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 11:40
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -9.03%E -4.58%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 11:36
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -4.73%E -2.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -9.03%E -4.58%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 11:36
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -5.27%E -3.00%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 11:40
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -5.27%E -3.00%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 11:39
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.81%E -3.32%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 11:40
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.719%E -0.334%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 11:10
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 11:39
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 11:40
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 11:29
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 11:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.72%EV -6.35%E -3.65%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.28%EV -10.42%E -5.37%K -11.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 11:40
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 56.20%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.80%EV +2.51%E +1.13%K +2.06%G +0.052%2.8%2026-05-25 11:30
FanDuel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.18%E -0.552%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 11:40
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:09
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -4.41%E -2.13%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 11:10
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.34%E -2.60%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 11:29
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 11:40
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 11:03
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 11:40
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.89%E -3.98%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 11:40
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -1.64%E -0.771%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 11:09
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -2.10%E -0.992%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 11:40
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 11:10
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.43%E -4.32%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 11:39
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -1.64%E -0.771%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:29
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 11:40
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.96%E -4.66%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -4.87%E -2.37%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 11:40
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.50%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.719%E -0.334%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 11:39
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.50%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 11:30
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.91%EV -8.50%E -5.00%K -12.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -11.80%E -6.18%K -12.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-25 11:36
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -9.58%E -5.70%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -5.80%E -2.84%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 11:40
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -9.58%E -5.70%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.72%E -3.33%K -6.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 11:39
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.12%E -6.06%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.12%E -6.06%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 11:40
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.12%E -6.06%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.44%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 11:40
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -10.12%E -6.06%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -7.65%E -3.82%K -7.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-25 11:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-25 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-05-25 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-25 11:40
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-05-25 11:40
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%3.1%2026-05-25 11:40
Novig1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%5.1%2026-05-25 11:40